Jets vs. Patriots AI Picks: TNF Predictions & Best Bet for Thursday Night Football

With all eyes on Drake Maye and the New England Patriots (8-2) as 12.5-point favorites over the visiting New York Jets (2-7), our Jets vs. Patriots AI predictions expect the AFC East leaders to pummel their rivals on Thursday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video) when they face off tonight at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass.

We've trained the latest ChatGPT model to offer its exact score prediction and projected stat leaders for both teams, as well as its best TNF prop bet tonight. You can catch the rest of our (human) expert picks with our NFL Week 11 predictions.

🤖 Jets vs. Patriots AI predictions: Monday Night Football

See all of our NFL AI predictions with projected scores for every Week 11 game.

🔢 Patriots projected stats

• Passing leader: Drake Maye – 23/33, 238 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
• Rushing leader: Rhamondre Stevenson – 16 rushes, 75 yards
• Receiving leader: Stefon Diggs – 6 receptions, 89 yards, 1 TD

🔢 Jets projected stats

• Passing leader: Justin Fields – 20/32, 217 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
• Rushing leader: Breece Hall – 14 rushes, 68 yards
• Receiving leader: Mason Taylor – 5 receptions, 73 yards

🔮 Jets vs. Patriots prediction

New England’s offense has settled into rhythm under Drake Maye, and this matchup leans toward textbook Patriots home control. The Jets’ secondary is banged up, so New England's receivers get the easier matchups they need, and Rhamondre Stevenson’s inside runs keep scoreboard pressure on. The Patriots will likely win the possession battle and limit Jets’ third-down conversions.

In contrast, the Jets can execute some chunks, but sustained drives are the issue. New England’s scheme forces longer third downs and punishes turnovers, and the Patriots’ front is good enough to keep Breece Hall in check. Expect New England to lead throughout, force a field-goal-only effort from New York in the second half, and lock up the cover.

Score prediction: Patriots 27, Jets 13

💰 Best player prop bet for Thursday Night Football

See all of our experts' NFL picks based on the latest NFL odds.

⬆️ Drake Maye Over 1.5 passing TDs

The simulation projects Maye to throw two touchdown passes as New England’s offense continues to evolve under his command. The Jets’ defense still has its flashes, but with Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams gone, the Patriots can pick spots to attack vertically and have enough time to execute. Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels has leaned on play-action and layered crossers that accentuate Maye’s accuracy on intermediate throws, giving tight ends and slot targets room to operate.

In our model’s script, New England builds a steady first-half lead before finishing drives through the air rather than grinding clock. The Jets’ run defense forces red-zone passing looks, and Maye’s chemistry with his receivers shows up here. Everything points toward another multi-TD outing for Maye in a comfortable Patriots win.

Best bet: Maye Over 1.5 passing TDs (-164 via FanDuel)

💡 More MNF predictions & picks

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• Jets vs. Patriots player props
• Jets vs. Patriots same-game parlay
• Drake Maye player prop bets
• Jets vs. Patriots anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• Jets vs. Patriots first touchdown scorer predictions
• Jets vs. Patriots AI predictions
• Jets vs. Patriots weather report
• Jets vs. Patriots betting report
• Jets vs. Patriots expert picks