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Jets vs. Browns NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: December 28, 2023 6:20 PM EST • 3 min 27 sec read.

Amari Cooper of the Cleveland Browns against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium as we look at our Browns-Jets NFL player prop picks.
Amari Cooper of the Cleveland Browns against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium. Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP.

Our Jets vs. Browns NFL player prop picks for Week 17 are based on the best NFL odds, and we're looking at whether Cleveland's offense can continue its scorching-hot play against a tough New York defense.

Joe Flacco is leading an NFL team to the postseason in 2023. What a world we live in.

After signing Deshaun Watson to a five-year, $230-million contract, it's the 38-year-old Flacco who's serving as Cleveland's savior this season.

Flacco has already built an impressive connection with wide receiver Amari Cooper and tight end David Njoku, and we're betting on the trio to continue to thrive on Thursday Night Football against the New York Jets.

In addition to our Browns-Jets prediction, here are our best Jets-Browns NFL player props for Week 17 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Jets vs. Browns NFL player props: Week 17

Amari Cooper Over 54.5 receiving yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Amari Cooper is fresh off making history in several ways with his 265-yard performance in Week 16. He established a new Browns single-game receiving yards record, and his four games with 200-plus receiving yards are tied for the third-most in league history.

Cooper now faces a New York Jets team in shambles, but its defense remains threatening and among the league's best, especially against the pass. The Jets sit second while allowing a meager 168.1 passing yards per game.

While it's understandable that our best sports betting sites have accordingly given Cooper a low receiving yards total despite his record-breaking antics, there's been an overreaction to the matchup, resulting in value to pounce on early in the week.

Specifically, throw yourself at the price from DraftKings. Of our three best sportsbooks posting early-week player props, that's the only one featuring a line this low. DraftKings sits at 54.5, while Caesars is far higher at 60.5, and bet365 is offering 59.5.

Projections widely favor Cooper clearing all of those numbers, and therefore sailing past the DraftKings total. NumberFire sits at 66.7 yards, while ESPN is at 69.

The 2023 season has been a bit of a boom-or-bust campaign for Cooper, largely due to Cleveland's quarterback situation. He's posted six games with 40 or fewer yards, and five games with 100-plus yards.

But he's been targeted a whole lot since Flacco took over, including outings with 14 and 15 looks, resulting in 121.3 receiving yards over the four games. He could cash this Over based on that volume alone.

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David Njoku to record a touchdown (+155 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Jets' pass defense may indeed remain imposing despite the team giving up 58 points over the past two weeks. But there's one specific yet significant weakness: tight ends in the red zone.

New York is tied for the second-most touchdown passes allowed to the position in 2023 (eight). That comes even while ranking well for yardage against tight ends (eighth-best) and receptions allowed (11th-best).

And now the Jets will face a tight end in David Njoku who's playing at an all-galaxy level lately since Flacco took over under center.

The seven-year veteran has already established new single-season career highs in receiving yards (748 yards) and touchdowns (six) with two games remaining. Much of that damage has been done recently, too, as the Flacco-Njoku connection blossoms to the tune of 239 yards across the past three games.

The two have been magnetized in the red zone, with Njoku on the receiving end for four of the 10 touchdown passes Flacco has thrown. Njoku has been receiving a monstrous 83.3% of the Browns' red-zone looks.

See Esten McLaren's anytime touchdown scorer predictions for another TNF pick.

Tyler Conklin Under 28.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Browns also boast a stellar defense, and a unit that's been central to keeping the team's playoff hopes alive. But unlike the Jets, there isn't a weakness of any kind against tight ends.

The Browns have allowed the fewest receiving yards to the position, and it's not close. They sit at 468 yards, while the New England Patriots are a distant second at 592.

It's a unit that's suffocating for tight ends, and now Conklin is up next while getting throws from a journeyman in Trevor Siemian, who's making just his eighth start since 2017. Conklin has only narrowly been getting above this yardage total while averaging 32.8 yards per game over the past six weeks, and an outlier 57-yard contest against the Houston Texans is elevating that number. 

The Browns and their stifling defense are well-positioned to limit him, all while hounding a replacement-level backup.

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Jets-Browns NFL player prop picks made Tuesday at 12:11 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Sean Tomlinson
Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, with stops at theScore, Bleacher Report, and now Sportsbook Review. The NFL has been his focus for much of that time, beginning as a features writer at theScore, and then as a national writer at B/R. He has survived Tebowmania in all of its forms, and vividly remembers watching the butt fumble live. Sean now leans on the knowledge gained from past experience in his role as a Publishing Editor and writer here at Sportsbook Review.