Ravens vs. Falcons Prediction: Week 5 Odds, Picks, Best Bet & Betting Splits
The Falcons are playing their third consecutive primetime game when they host the Ravens on Sunday Night Football, and my Ravens vs. Falcons prediction expects the home favorite to take advantage of a Baltimore squad playing its first full game without the injured Lamar Jackson.
Kickoff at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). The Falcons flipped from as much as a 6-point underdog to a 3.5-point betting favorite after Jackson was ruled out.
Ravens vs. Falcons picks & predictions
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 5 based on the latest NFL odds.
| Pick | Bet size |
|---|---|
| Falcons -3.5 (+100 via FanDuel) | 1 unit to win 1 unit |
| Under 43.5 (-106 via FanDuel) | 1 unit to win 0.94 units |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: +1.94 units
Ravens vs. Falcons prediction & best bet
Falcons -3.5 (+100 via FanDuel)
Baltimore may be off to its best four-game start (3-1) since 2023, but what we’ve seen from backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in 16 career starts leaves plenty to be desired.
Since 2019 (including playoffs) when Lamar Jackson became Baltimore’s full-time starter, the Ravens are 76-35 with Jackson under center, while averaging 28.0 points per game and Jackson logging a 69 Total QBR. With all other quarterbacks under center in that span, the Ravens are 6-12 and averaging 17.6 points per game, while the other quarterbacks (the majority of the time it was Huntley) recording a 50 Total QBR.
Bijan Robinson has totaled 80-plus scrimmage yards in every game this season, and he has come on strong with five total touchdowns over the last two weeks. Between him and teammate Brian Robinson Jr., the two totaled 237 rush yards in the first two weeks, with zero rushing touchdowns and five rushes of 10 or more yards. But Michael Penix Jr.’s presence under center has opened up running lanes over the last two weeks, as the two have combined for 451 rushing yards, eight rushing touchdowns, and nine explosive runs.
📡 SBR Edge: Primetime Bijan
Bijan Robinson has three straight primetime games with at least 125 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns. That is tied with Emmitt Smith for the longest such streak since 1970.
Don't sleep on the Falcons defense
Atlanta’s offense has been getting all the love lately while leading the NFL in scoring (40.0 points per game), total offense (459 yards per game), yards per attempt (10.6), and yards per rush (5.9) over the last two weeks. But the Falcons defense has quietly been equally as impressive.
Atlanta has allowed an NFL-low 2.7 yards per rush. It also ranks third with 67 quarterback pressures despite blitzing at the second-lowest rate in the league (19%). That’s a sharp contrast from a Ravens defense that ranked in the top-7 in rush defense EPA each of the last two seasons, but has fallen to 29th this year.
Score prediction: Falcons 24, Ravens 17
Ravens vs. Falcons odds
Ravens vs. Falcons opening odds
- Moneyline: Ravens -210 | Falcons +170
- Spread: Ravens -4 (-108) | Falcons +4 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 47 (-108) | Under 47 (-110)
Ravens vs. Falcons betting splits
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Team / bet type | Odds | Bet % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | |||
| • Moneyline | +145 | 59% | 33% |
| • Spread | +3 | 36% | 23% |
| • Total | o44 | 67% | 62% |
| Falcons | |||
| • Moneyline | -175 | 41% | 67% |
| • Spread | -3 | 64% | 77% |
| • Total | u44 | 33% | 38% |
More Sunday Night Football expert picks
- Ravens vs. Falcons expert picks
- Ravens vs. Falcons prediction
- Ravens vs. Falcons TD scorer pick
- Ravens vs. Falcons same-game parlay
How to watch Ravens vs. Falcons: Week 5
- Date: Sunday, Oct. 11
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
- TV: NBC
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