First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Thursday Night Football: Commanders vs. Packers
The tight ends are featured prominently in our first touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football ahead of the Commanders clashing with the Packers, along with the creative Jayden Daniels.
As always, our NFL picks in this market provide a chance to cash in on long odds, though with a responsible sprinkle of course. We're targeting Jayden Daniels (+1100) and Tucker Kraft (+1200), in addition to Zach Ertz (+2000) as the long shot.
It's all part of our NFL predictions for Week 2 ahead of a marquee Thursday Night Football matchup set for 8:15 p.m. ET from Lambeau Field (Prime Video), with Green Bay as the -3 or -3.5 betting favorite.
π First touchdown scorer predictions Thursday Night Football: Week 2
NFL touchdown scorer picks based on NFL odds that are subject to change.
- Tucker Kraft to score the first touchdown (+1200 via bet365) βββ
- Jayden Daniels to score the first touchdown (+1100 via BetMGM) βββ
- Zach Ertz to score the first touchdown (+2000 via DraftKings) ββ
π° Best Commanders vs. Packers first touchdown scorer bets
Here are my favorite Commanders vs. Packers first touchdown scorer picks for Thursday Night Football.
π§ Packers first touchdown scorer prediction: Tucker Kraft, TE (+1200) βββ
Kraft is getting the third-best odds at our best sports betting sites among Packers skill players to score the first touchdown. Though as is the case for anyone not named Josh Jacobs (+380), his price is still alluring, especially when you consider the frequency of his red-zone targets.
The tight end, who's fresh off catching one of Jordan Love's two touchdown tosses in Week 1, finished tied for third at his position last year in red-zone targets (15). That translated to a whopping 90% of Green Bay's red-zone looks, and he turned those opportunities into six touchdowns (he scored seven overall last season).
If that heavy target share in the red zone continues and Kraft snags the first touchdown of the game, a $10 wager at these eye-catching +1200 betting odds from bet365 would result in a $120 profit, with an implied probability of 7.69% for one of our first touchdown scorer picks for Thursday Night Football.
ποΈ Commanders first touchdown scorer prediction: Jayden Daniels, QB (+1100) βββ
Tabbing a quarterback to score first can often be a cheat code in this market - unless you're rolling with the likes of Jalen Hurts, who saunters to the end zone just about every game.
Daniels finished second among all quarterbacks in rushing yards last year during his Offensive Rookie of the Year odds-winning campaign while posting an impressive 891 yards. His sprints around the goal line led to six touchdowns, five of which came inside the 10-yard line. He was also second among all passers in red-zone rushing yards (105), making him a major factor in the Commanders ranking sixth in red-zone touchdown percentage (63.4%).
If Daniels hits pay dirt first and is another signal-caller to cash this bet for us after Caleb Williams did it on Monday night (+2200), a $10 play at these tasty +1100 odds from Caesars would pay out $110 with an implied probability of 8.33%
π― Best long shot to score first touchdown: Zach Ertz, TE (+2000) ββ
Ertz also played a significant role in the Commanders' red-zone effectiveness, with the agile tight end hauling in seven touchdown catches last year. It made for a career renaissance, as it was the 34-year-old's best single-season total since 2018.
Like his positional counterpart Kraft, Ertz was a target magnet around the red zone while finishing third among tight ends with 18 looks. Even more critically, his usage increased when Washington needed one final push, as Ertz led all tight ends with seven targets inside the 5-yard line, resulting in four touchdowns in that area.
The price here is longer surely in part due to the Packers shutting down tight ends, as their defense gave up only four touchdowns to the position last campaign. However, Green Bay did allow the eighth-most yardage to TEs.
If Ertz can keep up his scoring ways and notch the first TD tonight, a $10 bet on him would pay out $200 based on these betting odds from DraftKings, which feature an implied probability of 4.76%.
π Thursday Night Football first touchdown scorer odds
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
Thursday Night Football expert picks
- Commanders vs. Packers prediction
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- First touchdown scorer predictions for Commanders vs. Packers
- Commanders vs. Packers expert picks
πΊ Commanders vs. Packers game info
- When: Thursday, Sept. 11
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wis.)
- How to watch: Prime Video
βNFL betting FAQs
What does first touchdown scorer mean?
The first touchdown scorer bet in NFL betting means you're wagering on the first player to reach the end zone (excluding passing TDs). It's one of the most popular NFL prop bets, especially for prime-time games.
What does first touchdown scorer mean for a QB?
A first touchdown scorer bet for a quarterback means the QB must run or catch a touchdown - passing touchdowns donβt count. It's a popular NFL prop bet for mobile or trick-play QBs.
How do NFL touchdown scorer bets work?
There are multiple different ways to make your NFL touchdown scorer predictions. You can wager on a player to score an anytime touchdown, which pays out if they reach the end zone at any point for a touchdown. You can also bet on a player to score the first or last touchdown, multiple touchdowns, or to score in a particular half or quarter for larger payouts.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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