First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Monday Night Football: Doubleheader TD Picks
My first touchdown scorer predictions for Monday Night Football feature a pick from all four teams today, along with a long shot at +2500 odds.
Today's MNF doubleheader kicks off with the Bills vs. Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta at 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN), followed by the Bears vs. Commanders at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., at 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC).
My NFL picks have found the best value for first TD scorers today, while our NFL predictions for Week 6 feature more plays worth tailing, including player props, a same game parlay, and more.
My five-star pick to score first today is Falcons running back Tyler Allgeier, who also appears in our anytime touchdown scorer predictions for tonight's Monday Night Football doubleheader.
ð Monday Night Football first touchdown scorer predictions
NFL first touchdown scorer picks for Monday Night Football; odds subject to change.
- Falcons pick: Tyler Allgeier, RB (+1400 via bet365) âââââ
- Bills pick: Keon Coleman, WR (+1600 via BetMGM) ââââ
- Bears pick: Rome Odunze, WR (+1200 via DraftKings) ââââ
- Commanders pick: Jacory Croskey-Merritt, RB (+625 via BetMGM) ââ
- Best long shot: Caleb Williams, QB (+2500 via bet365) âââ
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ð° Best Bills vs. Falcons first touchdown scorer bets: MNF
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
ðŠķ Tyler Allgeier, RB, Falcons (+1400) âââââ
While Tyler Allgeier is not the most likely player to score first in this matchup - teammate Bijan Robinson has more carries - this price is too good to pass up.
Allgeier has scored twice over the past three games, including cashing as the first TD scorer in a Sept. 14 win at the Vikings. These +1400 odds carry an implied probability of 6.67%, which is too low considering Allgeier leads the Falcons with two rushing touchdowns through their first four games.
The best odds available at time of publish for Allgeier to score first are +1400 at bet365, with a winning $10 bet profiting $140.
ðĶŽ Keon Coleman, WR, Bills (+1600) ââââ
Keon Coleman has yet to cash as a first touchdown scorer this season, but these odds are way too inflated.
Coleman leads all Bills receivers with 29 targets and 15 receiving first downs. Additionally, the Bills are the favorite to score first today at all of our best sports betting sites. These +1600 odds carry an implied probability of just 5.88%, making them a great value for Coleman to be the first touchdown scorer.
BetMGM lists Coleman at +1600 - the best odds available at time of publish. A winning $10 bet would profit $160.
💡 More Bills vs. Falcons MNF picks
ð Bills vs. Falcons first TD scorer odds for MNF
Latest NFL odds updated live in real time.
ð° Best Bears vs. Commanders first touchdown scorer bets: MNF
ðŧ Rome Odunze, WR, Bears (+1200) ââââ
I was shocked to see Rome Odunze available at +1200, when most of our best sports betting apps list the Bears receiver anywhere from +900 to +1000.
Odunze has scored five touchdowns through four games. He has scored the first Bears touchdown in three contests, including cashing as the first overall TD scorer in a Sept. 21 win over the Cowboys.
Odunze's +1200 odds at DraftKings are the best available. These odds carry an implied probability of 7.69%, and a winning $10 bet would pay $120.
ðïļ Jacory Croskey-Merritt, RB, Commanders (+625) ââ
Jacory Croskey-Merritt at +625 odds is the only Commanders player - with a realistic shot to score first - I could find at an off-market number, hence the two-star rating.
This bet still has solid value, though, as most of our best sportsbooks list Croskey-Merritt at +450 to +490. The Commanders running back has scored four touchdowns through five games and was Washington's first TD scorer in its Week 5 win at the Los Angeles Chargers.
BetMGM lists Croskey-Merritt at +625 to score first, an implied probability of 13.79%. A winning $10 bet would profit $62.50.
ðŊ Caleb Williams, QB, Bears (+2500) âââ
The market has little confidence in Caleb Williams cashing as a first touchdown scorer today, but these odds are an overreaction.
Williams has not rushed for a touchdown since cashing as the first TD scorer on MNF in Week 1. However, the former No. 1 overall pick carried the ball a season-high eight times in the Bears' last game - Sept. 28 at the Raiders - and he may be more motivated to score another TD on national TV.
Williams' +2500 odds at Bet365 are the best available and carry an implied probability of 3.85%. A winning $10 bet would profit $250.
💡 More Bears vs. Commanders MNF picks
ð Bears vs. Commanders first TD scorer odds for MNF
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