Early Vikings vs. Steelers Prediction, Odds & Picks for International Series: NFL Week 4
My best early Vikings vs. Steelers prediction highlights the defensive strengths of Minnesota ahead of Sunday’s 9:30 a.m. ET (NFL Network) game at Croke Park in Dublin, Ireland. The Vikings are favored by 1.5 points for the first-ever NFL Dublin Game.
Despite Minnesota being favored, the Steelers covering the spread is one of the most popular (63%) NFL picks of Sunday. Below, I dive into what the public is getting wrong, as the Vikings winning this game comfortably is one of my best NFL predictions for Week 4.
Early Vikings vs. Steelers prediction & best bet
Stay ahead with the rest of our early NFL predictions.
Vikings -1.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Vikings have some question marks on offense, but the defense has only allowed two touchdowns in their last two games. In Sunday’s win over the Bengals, they forced five turnovers, held the Bengals to just 171 total yards, and scored two touchdowns.
The Steelers have scored 21 points or fewer in each of their last two games. The defense forced five Patriots turnovers, but New England racked up 369 yards of offense. Meanwhile, the Steelers managed just 203.
If Carson Wentz plays clean again on Sunday, his offense should score plenty against a defense allowing the fifth-most yards and 10th-most points per game. I’d happily take the Vikings at -1.5 at FanDuel for -105. However, because of public support, I expect the Steelers to be favored by kickoff. A $10 bet at -105 would pay $9.52. The Vikings have a 51.22% implied probability to cover.
Vikings vs. Steelers odds: Week 4
NFL odds update live in real time.
Vikings vs. Steelers opening odds
- Moneyline: Vikings -120 | Steelers +100
- Spread: Vikings -1.5 (-110) | Steelers +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 42.5 (-110) | Under 42.5 (-110)
Vikings vs. Steelers odds analysis
After the Steelers’ 21-14 win over the Patriots, the public loves Aaron Rodgers and Co. in this game. However, the spread has not moved, even though the Steelers are seeing two-thirds of the public support. I anticipate oddsmakers will give in soon and make this a pick-em or even favor the Steelers before kickoff.
No matter where the spread lands, I like the Vikings. As for the total, the number is set between 40.5 and 41.5. With bettors split pretty evenly on the Over/Under, I don’t expect this number to change much at all.
Vikings vs. Steelers injury report
Vikings vs. Steelers game info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 28
- Kickoff: 9:30 a.m. ET
- Where: Croke Park (Dublin, Ireland)
- How to watch: NFL Network
Vikings vs. Steelers FAQs
Who is favored to win Vikings vs. Steelers?
The best Vikings moneyline is -120 at FanDuel, and the price implies they have a 54.55% chance of winning. Multiple sportsbooks are offering the Steelers moneyline at +105, which implies a 48.78% chance they win.
What are the opening odds for Vikings vs. Steelers?
The Vikings opened as 1.5-point favorites. The total opened at 42.5 points, but it has since dropped to 41.5 or 40.5 at all of the best sports betting sites.
How do NFL odds work?
When betting on NFL odds, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -3 must win by more than 3 points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +3 must win outright or lose by fewer than 3 points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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