Early Jets vs. Dolphins Prediction, Odds & Picks for MNF: NFL Week 4
My early Jets vs. Dolphins prediction focuses on the offensive struggles of two 0-3 teams clashing on Monday Night Football in Week 4. Kickoff is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN) at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. The Dolphins are a 2.5-point home betting favorite, and are one of the public’s (68%) favorite NFL picks in early wagering.
After missing Week 3 with a concussion, New York Jets QB Justin Fields’ status will need to be taken into account when making NFL predictions for Week 4. But even if he does play, can he successfully lead the Jets over the Miami Dolphins?
Early Jets vs. Dolphins prediction & best bet
Stay ahead with the rest of our early NFL predictions.
Under 44.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Jets nearly upset the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 3. However, the Buccaneers led 23-6 entering the fourth quarter before two solid drives against prevent defense and an incredible blocked field goal return for a touchdown inflated the Jets’ score.
Meanwhile, the Dolphins scored 21 against the Buffalo Bills, but quarterback Tua Tagovailoa struggled, completing 22 passes for just 146 yards. I’m very concerned for him against a defense allowing 207.3 passing yards per game.
The Dolphins have allowed more than 30 points in every game, but even if Fields plays, his own 3-of-11, 27-yard performance against the Bills in Week 2 is hard to overlook. Oddsmakers know these defenses rank 30th and 32nd in points against, and yet they set this number relatively low anyway. That speaks to the struggles of these offenses. The price of -110 at BetMGM suggests a 52.83% chance this Under hits. A $10 bet would pay $9.09.
Jets vs. Dolphins odds: Week 4
NFL odds update live in real time.
Jets vs. Dolphins opening odds
- Moneyline: Jets +180 | Dolphins -220
- Spread: Jets +5.5 (-110) | Dolphins -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 44.5 (-110)
Jets vs. Dolphins odds analysis
The Dolphins are favored by 2.5 points, and right now, the vast majority of bettors (70%) are backing them to cover. While that should push this spread back toward the key number of 3 and potentially to 3.5, I wouldn’t bet the spread in this game because of how unreliable both teams have been this season.
The total is set at 44.5 at BetMGM, but it’s already as low as 43.5 at FanDuel. With 58% of bettors backing the Under, I expect this number to decrease. I would play this Under as low as 41.5.
Jets vs. Dolphins injury report
Jets vs. Dolphins game info
- When: Monday, Sept. 29
- Kickoff: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.)
- How to watch: ESPN
Jets vs. Dolphins FAQs
Who is favored to win Jets vs. Dolphins?
The best moneyline for the Dolphins is -145, which implies a 59.18% chance they win. The best price for the Jets is +132, which suggests they have a 43.10% chance of winning.
What are the opening odds for Jets vs. Dolphins?
The Dolphins opened as 5.5-point favorites, but they’re now only favored by 2.5. The total opened at 44.5, but the number has already dropped to 44 or 43.5 at some of the best sports betting sites.
How do NFL odds work?
When betting on NFL odds, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -3 must win by more than 3 points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +3 must win outright or lose by fewer than 3 points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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