Dolphins vs. Steelers AI Picks for Monday Night Football: MNF Predictions & Best Prop Bet
The Miami Dolphins (6-7) and Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) meet tonight on Monday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN), and our Dolphins vs. Steelers AI predictions expect a close contest tonight at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh.
We've trained the latest ChatGPT model to offer its exact score prediction and projected stat leaders for both teams, as well as its best MNF prop bet tonight. You can catch the rest of our (human) expert picks with our NFL Week 15 predictions.
🤖 Dolphins vs. Steelers AI predictions: Monday Night Football
See all of our NFL AI predictions with projected scores for every game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
| Steelers | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 21 |
Steelers projected stats
- Passing leader: Aaron Rodgers — 21/33, 230 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: Jaylen Warren — 16 carries, 68 yards
- Receiving leader: DK Metcalf — 6 receptions, 78 yards
Dolphins projected stats
- Passing leader: Tua Tagovailoa — 22/34, 215 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: De’Von Achane — 15 carries, 88 yards, 1 TD
- Receiving leader: Jaylen Waddle — 7 receptions, 84 yards, 1 TD
Dolphins vs. Steelers prediction
This sets up as a classic Monday night grinder shaped by environment and game flow. Miami’s best path is leaning into De'Von Achane and quick-game efficiency from Tua Tagovailoa, but the cold-weather setting and Pittsburgh’s physicality make sustained explosiveness harder to come by. The Dolphins move the ball in stretches, but finishing drives consistently becomes the challenge.
Pittsburgh’s edge comes from situational execution. Aaron Rodgers doesn’t need to be dominant, just steady, and the Steelers can lean on Jaylen Warren to stay balanced and control tempo. With DK Metcalf providing a reliable perimeter threat, Pittsburgh does enough in high-leverage moments to flip field position and steal a possession late. In a one-score game throughout, the Steelers make the final play that matters. Esten McLaren sides with a pair of tight ends to find the end zone in a cold-weather game with his anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
Score prediction: Steelers 21, Dolphins 20
💡 More NFL predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game this season.
💰 Best player prop bet for Monday Night Football
See all of our experts' NFL picks based on the latest NFL odds.
De'Von Achane Over 79.5 rushing yards
This prop lines up directly with how Miami is projected to keep this game competitive tonight. Against a Steelers defense built to limit perimeter explosives, the Dolphins’ clearest offensive edge comes on the ground, where Achane’s speed and vision allow him to create chunk gains even when blocking breaks down. Cold conditions and a tight spread also push Miami toward a more run-forward approach, keeping Achane heavily involved on early downs and neutral situations.
The projected 21–20 game script supports sustained volume rather than efficiency-dependent spikes. Miami is unlikely to abandon the run in a one-score game, and Achane doesn’t need a massive carry total to clear this number given his per-touch upside. As long as the Dolphins stay within striking distance — which the model expects throughout — Achane’s rushing workload should be steady enough for him to push him to 80 yards by the fourth quarter, making this the cleanest prop tied to the MNF projection.
Best bet: De'Von Achane Over 79.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
📺 How to watch Monday Night Football: Dolphins vs. Steelers
- Date: Monday, Dec. 15
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Acrisure Stadium (Pittsburgh)
- TV: ESPN
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