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Dolphins vs. Ravens Prediction, Pick & Odds Week 17: Will Baltimore Run Wild on Miami?

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: December 31, 2023 11:34 AM EST • 2 min 59 sec read.

Justice Hill of the Baltimore Ravens warms up prior to the game against the Los Angeles Rams, and we offer our top Dolphins vs. Ravens prediction based on the best NFL odds.
Justice Hill of the Baltimore Ravens warms up prior to the game against the Los Angeles Rams. Photo by Todd Olszewski/Getty Images via AFP.

The Miami Dolphins clash with the Baltimore Ravens in a Week 17 battle of AFC juggernauts, and we're offering our top Dolphins vs. Ravens prediction based on the best NFL odds at the best sportsbooks.

The Baltimore Ravens (12-3) host the Miami Dolphins (11-4) in a tilt between teams with Super Bowl aspirations. This matchup could decide the AFC's No. 1 seed.

The Ravens are coming off a massive win over the Super Bowl odds favorite San Francisco 49ers on Christmas Day, which saw star QB Lamar Jackson vault to the top of the NFL MVP odds.

In Week 16, the Dolphins claimed a significant victory by delivering a massive blow to the Dallas Cowboys' NFC East title hopes with a 22-20 win at home, setting the stage for Sunday's showdown for the top seed.

Who will emerge victorious in this battle of AFC contenders?

In addition to our NFL Week 17 predictions, our Dolphins vs. Ravens player props, and our Tagovailoa vs. Jackson player props, here are our best Dolphins vs. Ravens prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Dolphins vs. Ravens prediction

Justice Hill Under 8.5 rushing attempts (-148 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Just as many assumed, Hill earned an increased workload in Week 16 following rookie running back Keaton Mitchell's season-ending injury during the prior game.

Hill ran the ball 10 times (three fewer than his season high) for 26 yards against the 49ers. In comparison, fellow Ravens running back Gus Edwards carried the ball a somewhat surprising nine times. However, the data suggests that workload will flip in Week 17 against the Dolphins.

Across seven projection models, Edwards is projected to finish this contest with significantly more carries at 11.24 to Hill's 6.75. I also looked at Edwards' rushing attempts prop in my Dolphins vs. Ravens player props.

As for Hill, when we run his projection of 6.75 rushing attempts against the Under on FanDuel's line of 8.5 at -148 odds, we're getting better than 27% positive expected value.

All of our other best sports betting apps have Hill's total listed at 7.5. Among those best sports betting sites with a bigger variety of alternative lines, ESPN BET has Under 8.5 rushing attempts priced at -190.

For those who don't have access to FanDuel, BetMGM profiles as the next-best option with its -115 price on Under 7.5. This highlights the importance of odds shopping, as that prop provides bettors with less than 19% +EV compared to the 27% we're getting at FanDuel.

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Dolphins vs. Ravens best odds

FanDuel (-148)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
7.58.57.57.57.5
-120-148-115-117-115

As previously mentioned, among our best sportsbooks, only FanDuel offers a line of 8.5.

Both BetMGM and bet365 offer Under 7.5 at -115 odds, making them each a decent secondary option. 

As is always the case with player props, this is a reminder to help your own cause and sign up for more of the sites offering the best sportsbook promos if they're available.

It may seem daunting at first, but consider it an investment. Even if you're winning by betting at only a single sportsbook, you're likely robbing yourself of money by regularly getting inferior odds.

For the best odds on this prop, use our exclusive FanDuel promo code!

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Dolphins vs. Ravens odds

Dolphins vs. Ravens odds analysis

The more aggressive betting splits for this game have come on the total rather than the spread, with the latter experiencing a relatively even split. Roughly 55% of the action on the spread has been on the Ravens, who serve as -3.5 favorites.

Around 65% of the action on the total has been on the Over, which helps explain why it's jumped half a point from 46.5 to 47 at our best live betting sites.

Dolphins vs. Ravens game info

  • When: Sunday, Dec. 31 at 1 p.m. ET
  • Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
  • How to watch: CBS
  • Weather: 48 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 8-mph winds

Dolphins vs. Ravens prediction made Friday at 4 p.m. ET.

Check out our best NFL betting sites:

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Written By:
Andrew Brennan
Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He's been a Boston Red Sox fan for over 20 years and a Liverpool supporter for nearly a decade. He's probably watching, talking about, or thinking about sports while you read this.