Dolphins vs. Browns Player Prop Picks: Best Prop Bets & TD Picks for Week 7

Can Quinshon Judkins set a new career high against the Dolphins' 32nd-ranked run defense?
Cleveland Browns running back Quinshon Judkins (10) runs with the ball. Photo by Kirby Lee / Imagn Images.

My best Dolphins vs. Browns player props focus on Quinshon Judkins, De’Von Achane, and Darren Waller, ahead of Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET (CBS) game at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland. The Browns are a 2- to 2.5-point betting favorite.

My best NFL picks highlight starting running backs, but for different reasons, with Judkins facing a great matchup and Achane facing one of the league’s toughest. For more about this game, check out our NFL predictions for Week 7.


🏈 Dolphins vs. Browns player props

NFL player prop bets for Week 7; odds subject to change.

  • Quinshon Judkins Over 90.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • De’Von Achane Over 4.5 receptions (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Darren Waller to score a touchdown (+275 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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💰 Best Dolphins vs. Browns player prop picks

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Quinshon Judkins Over 90.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Dolphins have the 32nd-ranked rush defense, allowing 168.5 yards per game. They’re allowing 5.6 yards per carry, and they’ve allowed a 100-yard rusher in three of their last four games. Two weeks ago, Rico Dowdle ran for 206 yards on 23 carries. With how Judkins is playing, not only will he hit this Over, but it’s worth taking his alt-line at 100 or 110 yards.

Judkins only ran for 36 yards last week, but he’s rushed for at least 94 yards in two games this season, and he’s averaging 4.6 yards per carry. His season-high is 110 yards, which came against the Vikings, who are allowing 36.3 fewer rushing yards per game than the Dolphins. 

The price of -114 at FanDuel implies a 53.27% chance that Judkins hits this Over. A $10 bet would profit $8.77.


⬆️ De’Von Achane Over 4.5 receptions (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Achane has averaged 5.1 yards per carry on his way to 390 rushing yards this season. However, he has to face the Browns’ third-ranked rush defense, which is allowing just 79.7 rushing yards per game. Achane isn’t matchup proof, as he’s rushed for fewer than 3 yards per carry twice this year, including just 1.6 yards per attempt against the Panthers.

That said, the Dolphins are committed to getting Achane involved, as he had at least six catches in both games where he averaged fewer than 3 yards per carry. This season, he has 29 receptions for 195 yards and at least six catches in three of six games. He has also been targeted at least six times in all but two contests.

BetMGM’s price of -105 implies a 51.22% chance that Achane hits this Over. A $10 bet would profit $9.52.


6️⃣ Best touchdown scorer pick for Dolphins vs. Browns

Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.

🔥 Darren Waller to score a touchdown (+275) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Waller has scored in every game he has played this season. Last week, he only caught two passes for 12 yards, but he still managed to find the end zone late in the fourth quarter.

The Browns have allowed four touchdowns to tight ends this season, tied for the third-most in the league. While Waller has only played in three games, he already leads the Dolphins with four receiving touchdowns. Additionally, although he is fourth on the team with 12 targets in three games, the quality of his targets is incredibly high, as he has caught 10 balls thrown his way.

The price of +275 at DraftKings implies a 26.67% chance that Waller scores. A $10 bet would profit $27.50.


📊 Dolphins vs. Browns odds

Latest NFL odds updated live in real time.


📺 How to watch Dolphins vs. Browns: NFL Week 7

  • Date: Sunday, Oct. 19
  • Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
  • Where: Huntington Bank Field (Cleveland)
  • TV: CBS

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