Dolphins vs. Bills Expert Picks: TNF Player Props, Touchdown Predictions & More

Two division rivals kick off NFL Week 3 tonight when the Buffalo Bills host the Miami Dolphins at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y., and we've gathered all of our Dolphins vs. Bills expert picks ahead of Thursday Night Football at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video.

🏈 Dolphins vs. Bills expert picks: Thursday Night Football

NFL picks for Thursday Night Football with pick confidence based on 1-to-5-star scale; see the latest NFL odds for the best available price.

• Against the spread pick: Bills -11.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
• Player prop pick: Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing TDs (-130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Touchdown scorer prediction: Jaylen Waddle to score anytime TD (+255 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• First touchdown prediction: De'Von Achane to score first TD (+900 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Don't miss our Dolphins vs. Bills parlay picks for a chance at a +831 payday!

💰 Best Dolphins vs. Bills picks for Thursday Night Football

Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.

✅ Best ATS pick: Bills -11.5 ⭐⭐⭐

Here's what our NFL expert Gary Pearson wrote this week on why he's betting the Bills to cover the spread and to surpass their team total of 30.5 points:

"Buffalo has scored at least 31 points in six of the previous nine home regular-season games, scoring 30 in two of the three exceptions. 

Their offense averaged 33.2 points per game at home last season, the second most behind Detroit's 34.9. Against Baltimore in the opener, they finished with 41. The offense hit the Over on their team total in 10 of the last 11 in their friendly confines."

Pearson also breaks down his favorite player prop bet and other ways he's betting this game in his Dolphins vs. Bills prediction.

🔥 Best player prop pick: Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing TDs ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Here's why our NFL expert Matt Jacob is backing Bills QB Josh Allen to finish with at least two passing touchdowns tonight against the Dolphins' defense:

"Josh Allen hasn’t just had his way with Miami’s defensive backs over the years; he’s flat-out destroyed them. In 14 career regular-season games and one playoff contest, Allen has thrown 40 touchdowns. Number of times Allen has racked up multiple TD passes in those 15 games: 14.

Need more convincing to play this prop at bet365 (which has the best odds at -130)? This should do the trick: Two quarterbacks have already shredded the Dolphins this season. Those QBs? Daniel Jones (272 yards, 1 TD) and Drake Maye (230 yards, 2 TDs)."

Jacob is also fading two skill-position stars tonight as part of his best Dolphins vs. Bills player prop picks. We also broke down three of our favorite Josh Allen player prop picks ahead of tonight's 

💪 Best touchdown scorer prediction: Jaylen Waddle to score anytime TD ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Here's why our NFL expert Esten McLaren is betting on Dolphins receiver Jaylen Waddle to score a touchdown tonight against the Bills:

"Jaylen Waddle, the Dolphins' No. 2 receiver, caught five of six targets for 68 yards and his first touchdown of the season in last week's loss to the New England Patriots. He's now sitting at nine receptions on 11 targets and 98 yards through two games. The wideout has matched Tyreek Hill with 78 offensive snaps this season."

McLaren also breaks down his favorite bets to score for the Bills in his anytime touchdown scorer predictions.

😤 Best first touchdown scorer prediction: De'Von Achane to score first TD ⭐⭐⭐

Here's why our NFL expert Sean Tomlinson is betting on Dolphins running back De'Von Achane to score the first touchdown on Thursday Night Football:

"The Dolphins likely getting walloped doesn't mean they can't briefly surprise and score first if the coin flip goes their way. Achane could be central to that effort, too. The Dolphins surely don't want to overexpose the injury-prone Tua Tagovailoa behind a feeble offensive line and against the league's best pass defense so far. And the Bills have also been vulnerable on the ground while ranking 31st in run defense."

Tomlinson, who nailed his first touchdown scorer bet on Monday, is also targeting two Bills long shots in his first touchdown scorer predictions.

📺 How to watch Thursday Night Football: Dolphins vs. Bills info

• When: Thursday, Sept. 18
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, N.Y.)
• How to watch: Prime Video

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