Cowboys vs. Raiders Prediction & Odds for Monday Night Football: NFL Week 11 Betting Preview
Struggling teams square off on Monday Night Football from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN), and my Cowboys vs. Raiders prediction expects Dallas to win and cover on the road.
Despite losing three of the previous four games, the Cowboys are the 3 or 3.5-point betting favorite. I've also featured a George Pickens prop bet, with these picks part of the NFL Week 11 predictions.
✅ Cowboys vs. Raiders prediction & expert picks
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💵 Best Cowboys vs. Raiders bets
📊 Cowboys vs. Raiders odds
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🏈 Monday Night Football preview & score prediction
Monday Night Football features a Raiders offense ranked third-worst in EPA per play against a Cowboys defense that ranks 31st in the same category. The Raiders score the second-fewest points per game (15.4), one more than the Tennessee Titans.
They have, however, enjoyed some success against lower-ranked defenses, scoring 24 apiece against the Washington Commanders and Chicago Bears.
While nobody should be naive enough to think their new acquisition, Quinnen Williams, will be the savior of the Cowboys' brutal defense, there is optimism that the All-Pro defensive tackle can facilitate a few more stops.
Williams and the Cowboys are well-rested, too, with the former New York Jet playing his last game three weeks ago.
The Raiders, meanwhile, have the 21st-ranked defense in terms of EPA per play. Dak Prescott and Co. faced three teams among the worst 10 in EPA per play recently, scoring 37 points against the Jets, 27 against the Carolina Panthers, and 44 against the Commanders.
With the tragic passing of teammate Marshawn Kneeland, I expect the Cowboys to band together. bet365 is the only one of the best sports betting sites offering Dallas at -3, with the others at -3.5. A winning $10 bet will profit $8.33.
Score prediction: Cowboys 30, Raiders 24
💡 More Week 11 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 11.
🆚 Key matchup to watch on MNF
George Pickens vs. Raiders secondary
The Raiders rank among the bottom 10 in receiving yards for opposing wide receivers, allowing 158.7 per game. Pickens has accounted for at least 78 yards in four consecutive games, averaging 102.
He hit the Over on this total in seven of nine games, and his target share has not decreased since CeeDee Lamb returned to the lineup. The Raiders have the 23rd-ranked pass defense in terms of EPA per play, which also bodes well for the Prescott-Pickens combination.
Despite FanDuel offering the lowest total of 64.5 yards, its -114 odds provide better value than Caesars (-125) and BetMGM (-118) at higher 65.5 and 66.5-yard totals. A winning $10 bet will profit $8.77.
Best prop bet: George Pickens Over 64.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel)
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📈 Cowboys vs. Raiders betting trends
| Cowboys | Statistic | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-1 | W-L record | 2-7 |
| 4-5 | ATS record | 4-5 |
| 6-3 | O/U record | 3-6 |
| 5.9 | Yards per play | 4.8 |
| 6.1 | Yards allowed per play | 5.1 |
| -4 | Turnover margin | -4 |
| 2-3 | Last 5 games | 1-4 |
| L, 27-17 vs. Cardinals | Previous result | L, 10-7 vs. Broncos |
🚑 Cowboys vs. Raiders injury report
🌤️ Cowboys vs. Raiders weather
Weather won't play a factor here, as Las Vegas' Allegiant Stadium is domed.
Check our NFL weather report for the latest forecasts and betting impacts for every game this week.
📺 How to watch Monday Night Football: Cowboys vs. Raiders
- Date: Monday, Nov. 17
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas)
- TV: ESPN
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