Cowboys vs. Commanders Player Props for NFL Christmas Day | Best Prop Bets & TD Picks
My Cowboys vs. Commanders player props for Christmas Day factor in the uncertain quarterback situation for Washington, which could be down to its third-string signal-caller.
Our NFL Week 17 predictions include backing Dak Prescott after he exposed a poor Commanders secondary in their first matchup. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Christmas at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md. (Netflix), with the Cowboys a 7-point road betting favorite.
🏈 Cowboys vs. Commanders player prop bets
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Player | Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys | Over 140.5 first-half passing yards | -113 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Terry McLaurin, WR, Commanders | Over 49.5 receiving yards | -113 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Jake Ferguson, TE, Cowboys | Anytime touchdown | +150 via Caesars | ⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Cowboys vs. Commanders best bet
Search the best NFL player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.
Dak Prescott Over 140.5 first-half passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Dak Prescott did nearly all of his damage through the air against Washington in the first half of their previous matchup this season, with Over 200 passing yards before halftime.
I expect a similar story on Christmas as he takes on the 26th-ranked defense against the pass. That's why this prop is my Cowboys vs. Commanders best bet, rather than Prescott's full-game passing yards total.
The Cowboys quarterback will likely have no reason to keep passing by the start of the fourth quarter when Dallas has comfortably pulled ahead of Washington.
🔥 More Cowboys vs. Commanders prop picks
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 17.
Terry McLaurin Over 49.5 receiving yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This is a prime matchup for Terry McLaurin, as no team has allowed more yards to wide receivers in 2025 than the Cowboys.
The two-time Pro Bowler has gone Over this total in five of his last six games, including the last two weeks without Jayden Daniels.
Whether it's Marcus Mariota or third-stringer Josh Johnson throwing him the football, McLaurin has proved throughout his career that he can excel even with subpar quarterback play.
DraftKings offers the top value among the best sports betting sites on this McLaurin prop, with the total a full yard lower alongside better odds.
Jake Ferguson anytime touchdown (+150) ⭐⭐⭐
Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson scored twice against Washington in Week 7, contributing to the Commanders ranking second-worst in touchdowns allowed to tight ends.
The Commanders have also allowed a tight end to reach the end zone in two of the last three weeks. Ferguson is tied with George Pickens for the most red-zone targets on Dallas this season with 21, so expect Prescott to look his way in the red area at some point on Thursday.
Our Mike Spector backs a different Dallas pass-catcher to score in his Cowboys vs. Commanders predictions.
📺 How to watch Cowboys vs. Commanders: Christmas Day
- Date: Thursday, Dec. 25
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Northwest Stadium (Landover, Md.)
- TV: Netflix
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