Best Commanders vs. Packers Player Prop Bets for Thursday Night Football: TNF Odds & Picks Tonight

My Commanders vs. Packers player props for Thursday Night Football target Terry McLaurin, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, and Jordan Love.

Matt Jacob

Last Updated: September 11, 2025 5:29 PM EDT • 6 minute read

Best Commanders vs. Packers Player Prop Bets for Thursday Night Football: TNF Odds & Picks Tonight — Pictured: Washington Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin (17) celebrates a touchdown. Photo by Matthew Hinton via Imagn Images.

I'm offering three Commanders vs. Packers player props for tonight's Thursday Night Football matchup between 1-0 NFC contenders as part of our NFL predictions for Week 2.

My TNF prop bets target Terry McLaurin to reach the end zone alongside two Under plays for my NFL picks. The action gets started at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis., at 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video).

The Packers are a 3.5-point betting favorite tonight, with our Commanders vs. Packers prediction anticipating the hosts to cover.

🏈 Best Commanders vs. Packers player props: Thursday Night Football

NFL player prop bets based on the latest Thursday Night Football odds; subject to change.

Terry McLaurin to score anytime touchdown (+155 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jacory Croskey-Merritt Under 38.5 rushing yards (-120 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
Jordan Love Under 233.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

📰 Commanders vs. Packers latest news

Packers star pass-rusher Micah Parsons is questionable for tonight's matchup alongside cornerback Nate Hobbs, right tackle Zach Tom, and left guard Aaron Banks.
Green Bay's secondary could have to rely on its depth if Hobbs is limited or has to outright miss tonight's game, as corner Bo Melton has already been ruled out.
Meanwhile, the Commanders have two players listed as questionable for tonight: punter Tress Way and defensive end Deatrich Wise Jr.

💰 Best Thursday Night Football player prop bets

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

🔥 Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown scorer (+155) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

A lengthy and very public contract dispute led to a tumultuous offseason and training camp for Terry McLaurin and the Commanders. McLaurin ultimately got his money before coming out and putting up a Week 1 dud against the Giants (two receptions for 27 yards).

It was just the second time in 10 games (playoffs included) that McLaurin failed to score a touchdown. McLaurin hasn't failed to score in consecutive games since Weeks 10 and 11 last season. In fact, since Week 3 in 2024, McLaurin was held scoreless in back-to-back games just twice.

We’ll bet on him notching his first touchdown of 2025 tonight in Green Bay. We’ll do so at FanDuel, which offers this prop at +155 odds. A winning $10 bet would yield $15.50, with an implied win probability of 39.22%.

⬇️ Jacory Croskey-Merritt Under 38.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐

Washington rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt had an NFL debut to remember, turning 10 carries into a game-high 82 yards against the Giants. Now it’s time for the former Arizona standout to get a dose of reality in his first NFL road game, on a short week, against a defense that was dominant in Week 1.

Green Bay held Detroit’s dynamic rushing duo of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to 44 rushing yards on a combined 20 carries. It was a sign that the Packers shored up a big weakness, as last year, they allowed the fifth-most rushing yards in the league.

I expect Croskey-Merritt’s workload to mimic last week’s. If I’m right, he’d have to average nearly four yards per tote to beat this prop - not happening. For this one, Caesars offers the optimum number and odds (-120), with a 54.55% win probability.

⬆️ Jordan Love Under 233.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Jordan Love went 16-for-22 and racked up just 188 passing yards in his 2025 debut against the Lions. This continued a disturbing trend that has seen Love go seven straight games without eclipsing 229 passing yards. Even worse, he had 212 yards or fewer in six of those outings.

This week, Love faces a Washington secondary that went from dead last in pass defense in 2023 (262.2 yards per game) to third in 2024 (189.5). How’d that secondary do in Week 1 against the Giants? It held Russell Wilson to 168 yards on 37 pass attempts.

BetMGM lists Love’s passing yards projection as many as seven yards higher than the rest of the market. The implied probability on this play is 53.49%, with the Under priced at -115.

Thursday Night Football expert picks

Commanders vs. Packers prediction
Commanders vs. Packers player prop bets
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Commanders vs. Packers anytime touchdown scorer predictions
First touchdown scorer predictions for Commanders vs. Packers
Commanders vs. Packers expert picks

📺 How to watch Thursday Night Football

When: Thursday, Sept. 11
Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
Where: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wis.)
How to watch: Prime Video

❓ Thursday Night Football FAQs

What are the best player props for Thursday Night Football?

My best Commanders vs. Packers player props for Thursday Night Football are Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown scorer, Jacory Croskey-Merritt Under 38.5 rushing yards, and Jordan Love Under 233.5 passing yards.

When is Thursday Night Football?

Thursday Night Football between the Washington Commanders and Green Bay Packers kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video) from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.

How do NFL player props work?

Player props are wagers on individual performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common props include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdown scorers. For example, if a QB’s passing yards line is set at 250.5, you can bet the Over (251-plus yards) or Under (250 or fewer yards). You can also bet on if a specific player will score a touchdown in the entire game, the first or last touchdown, and more NFL odds markets.

You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.

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Written by:
Matt Jacob

Matt Jacob is a freelance writer and editor with more than three decades of professional experience working for an array of print and digital employers and clients. He first dove into the sports betting space in 2005 as a full-time handicapper and content producer. In addition to picking games 363 days a year, Matt wrote daily betting previews for all major professional and college sports, with those previews published (unbylined) on Yahoo’s website. He has since produced sports betting-related articles and picks pieces for outlets such as Forbes and the Philadelphia Inquirer while sharing his NFL experience. While Matt also has vast TV, radio, and webcast experience, he is perhaps the only individual in the sports betting ecosystem without a podcast (for now, anyway). Instead, Matt’s opinions and borderline unhealthy fascination with betting trends can be found on Twitter @MattRJacob. As for actual wagering, Matt believes strongly in a longstanding principle: Only bet what you can afford to lose. Because in an industry where even the best of the best succeed less than 60% of the time, you’re going to lose … a lot. And the graduate of San Diego State University - aka “The Harvard of the West” - has shoeboxes full of losing tickets to prove it.