NFL Christmas Day Predictions & Odds | Best ATS Picks, Player Props, SGP & TD Bets

Our NFL Christmas Day predictions break down all of our best bets based on the latest odds for Thursday's holiday tripleheader.
Kansas City Chiefs center Creed Humphrey (52) and offensive tackle Josh Simmons (71) celebrate against the Denver Broncos as we break down our NFL Christmas Day predictions and odds.
Pictured: Kansas City Chiefs center Creed Humphrey (52) and offensive tackle Josh Simmons (71) celebrate against the Denver Broncos as we break down our NFL Christmas Day predictions and odds. Photo by Ron Chenoy / Imagn Images.
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Our NFL Christmas Day predictions break down this year's holiday tripleheader with three divisional matchups Thursday - all featuring a backup quarterback for the underdogs. We break down our best ATS picks, player props, SGP, and touchdown scorer bets for all three games as part of our NFL Week 17 predictions.


🏈 Cowboys vs. Commanders predictions & odds (1 PM ET, Netflix)

Neither of these teams are fighting for their playoff lives ahead of this Christmas matinee, but the Cowboys are still looking to finish strong in Brian Schottenheimer's first year as head coach. Meanwhile, the Commanders will turn to journeyman QB Josh Johnson after ruling out starter Jayden Daniels (elbow) and backup Marcus Mariota (hand, quad) amid a disastrous 4-11 campaign following a run to the NFC Championship last year.

Live Cowboys vs. Commanders odds

Cowboys vs. Commanders prediction

🎄 Cowboys -7.5 (-110)

I typically hate to lay the big number on a team that isn't very good, and the Cowboys enter this one below .500 with nothing to play for. But they've looked like an above-average squad since the trade deadline, while the Commanders have spiraled into disaster and will be starting a third-string QB on a short week. That's enough for me to bet the road favorites here.

More Cowboys vs. Commanders picks


🏈 Lions vs. Vikings predictions & odds (4:30 PM ET, Netflix)

It's been do-or-die for the Lions for a few weeks now, but after two straight losses and a 3-5 run following a 5-2 start, things have gotten especially dire for Dan Campbell and Co. as they cling to their miniscule playoff chances. They should be well positioned to keep those alive this week against the Vikings, who beat Detroit in Week 9 but will need a heroic effort from backup QB Max Brosmer with starter J.J. McCarthy (hand) ruled out.

Live Lions vs. Vikings odds

Lions vs. Vikings prediction

🎄 Vikings +7.5 (-114)

This bet has nothing to do with the Vikings' offense - which is clearly a liability with backup QB Max Brosmer under center - and everything to do with this Minnesota defense, which has been the catalyst for the team's three-game win streak to open December. If Brian Flores forces Jared Goff out of his rhythm early, I wouldn't be shocked to see an outright upset for the home underdogs.

More Lions vs. Vikings picks

  • Early Lions vs. Vikings picks
  • Lions vs. Vikings prediction
  • Lions vs. Vikings player props
  • Lions vs. Vikings same-game parlay
  • Lions vs. Vikings anytime touchdown scorer predictions
  • Max Brosmer player prop picks
  • Lions vs. Vikings expert picks

🏈 Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions & odds (8:15 PM ET, Prime Video)

The Chiefs' nightmare season continues to trend toward horror after Patrick Mahomes (ACL) and Gardner Minshew (knee) both ruled out for the season. That means Kansas City will turn to former seventh-round pick Chris Oladokun, who will make his first career start after four years as a backup. That's a tough ask against this vaunted Broncos defense, which should be out for blood after getting lit up last week by the Jaguars.

Live Broncos vs. Chiefs odds

Broncos vs. Chiefs prediction

🎄 Broncos -13 (-115)

Last week was a tough look for the Broncos, who were outclassed on both sides of the ball by a sneaky Jaguars bunch. But with the No. 1 seed still in sight, I'm expecting Denver to tee off against third-string QB Chris Oladokun and a floundering Chiefs roster riding a four-game losing streak to close out a wasted season.

More Broncos vs. Chiefs picks

  • Early Broncos vs. Chiefs picks
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs prediction
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs player props
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs same-game parlay
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown scorer predictions
  • Chris Oladokun player prop picks
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs weather report
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs expert picks

🎁 More NFL expert picks for Christmas Day

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for Christmas Day and more.


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