Chargers vs. Patriots Prediction: Best Prediction Market Odds From Kalshi
I'm breaking down the Chargers vs. Patriots prediction market ahead of tomorrow's Wild Card Weekend matchup. Kickoff is at 8 p.m. ET from Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA) on NBC, with the host Patriots being a 3.5-point betting favorite.
Stay up to date with all the postseason action with our NFL playoff bracket.
🆚 Who will win Chargers vs. Patriots at prediction markets?
Prediction market via Kalshi. You can use our Kalshi promo code for a $10 bonus by signing up today. Market subject to change.
The Chargers are trading at 36% at Kalshi to win the game outright, with the Patriots trading at 65% to win the game. As a result, the Yes price for the Chargers to win sits at 36 cents, while the Yes price for the Patriots is currently at 65 cents.
The Chargers Yes price translates to American betting odds of +178, while the Patriots odds translates to -186, per our odds converter.
Chargers vs. Patriots prediction: Patriots to win
See all of our NFL picks throughout the playoffs.
I am backing the Patriots to get the victory here, and the Patriots offense will be the story of this game. The Patrots should be able to move the ball all game, leading to them defeating the Chargers in this spot and cashing our Chargers vs. Patriots prediction.
💡 More Wild Card Round predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game during Wild Card Weekend.
⚖️ Chargers vs. Patriots spread & Over/Under at prediction markets
| Outcome | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots -3.5 | 51 cents (-104) | 50 cents (+100) |
| Under 45.5 | 51 cents (-104) | 50 cents (+100) |
Our prediction: Patriots -3.5
The Patriots are the more complete team in this game, and I project them to win by a touchdown or more. The Chargers are banged up entering Wild Card Weekend, and have struggled against the top-teams in the league this season. The Patriots -3.5 is trading at 51 cents and does have value as there is not much juice on this play. My NFL playoff predictions include the Patriots offense executing anything they want, and them winning comfortably by a touchdown or more.
⚖️ How to bet spreads and totals at Kalshi
Kalshi allows you to scroll to set your own line for the spread and Over/Under. The implied chance and Yes and No prices change automatically with the spread you choose, giving you a higher likelihood of winning your prediction, or a greater profit (with lower likelihood).
🙌 Chargers vs. Patriots props at prediction markets
Kalshi offers a wide range of props on every game, including team totals, player touchdowns, receptions, and passing, rushing, and receiving yards on all notable skill players. Simply choose the market of your liking, select your desired player and prop line and make your pick on Yes or No.
Chargers vs. Patriots touchdown scorer props at prediction markets
| Player | Anytime touchdown | First touchdown |
|---|---|---|
| TreVeyon Henderson | 43 cents (+132) | 12 cents (+733) |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 43 cents (+132) | 11 cents (+809) |
| Hunter Henry | 37 cents (+170) | 10 cents (+900) |
| Stefon Diggs | 36 cents (+177) | 10 cents (+900) |
| Ladd McConkey | 31 cents (+223) | 8 cents (+1150) |
| Quentin Johnston | 31 cents (+223) | 8 cents (+1150) |
| Oronde Gadsden | 28 cents (+257) | 7 cents (+1329) |
| Drake Maye | 27 cents (+270) | 7 cents (+1329) |
| Keenan Allen | 26 cents (+285) | 7 cents (+1329) |
| Kayshon Boutte | 24 cents (+317) | 6 cents (+1567) |
💰 Chargers vs. Patriots touchdown prediction: Hunter Henry to score anytime touchdown (37%)
Hunter Henry has been Drake Maye's favorite red zone weapon this season, scoring 7 touchdowns this season. I expect Henry to get plenty of looks in the red zone, and should find the end zone at least once in this contest. His Yes price to score sits at 37 cents.
💰️ NFL playoff guide
Be sure to download our free, printable NFL playoff bracket PDF ahead of today's kickoff to compete against your friends (and enemies). C Jackson Cowart's NFL playoff bracket predictions can help you get ahead.
Don't miss Gary Pearon's live betting guide for help with your in-game wagers today.
What is Kalshi and how does it work?
Kalshi is a U.S.-regulated prediction market exchange, overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, where you trade on the outcome of real-world events by buying and selling simple contracts that pay out $1 if a specific result happens and $0 if it does not. Think of it like betting with a stock-market-style order book instead of a sportsbook. For example, in an NFL-style market, there could be a contract asking whether the Buffalo Bills will win the Super Bowl. If you think they will, you might buy a “Yes” contract at 35 cents, which implies a 35 percent chance. If the Bills win, that contract settles at $1, meaning you make 65 cents per contract. If they lose, it settles at $0. Prices move based on supply and demand as traders buy and sell, so the market itself reflects the crowd’s collective probability. Unlike traditional betting, you can sell your position early to lock in profit or cut losses, and the focus is on forecasting outcomes rather than beating a fixed house line.
How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?
Kalshi differs from sportsbooks because you are trading against other users in an open market, not betting against a house that sets and moves the line. Prices are driven by supply and demand, you can exit positions early by selling, and odds are expressed as probabilities in cents rather than traditional spreads or moneylines. Sportsbooks, by contrast, offer fixed wagers with built-in vig and no ability to trade once the bet is placed.
Why should I wager on Chargers vs. Patriots at Kalshi?
Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:
- Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
- Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
- Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.
- Availability: Kalshi is available in many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Related Articles
