Broncos vs. Chiefs Player Props for NFL Christmas Day | Best Prop Bets & TD Picks
I’m riding the visiting team with my trio of Broncos vs. Chiefs player props for a Christmas Day showdown between AFC West rivals from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo. (8:20 p.m. ET, Prime Video).
Denver is a massive 13.5-point betting favorite, which is precisely why my NFL Week 17 predictions call for Broncos teammates Bo Nix, Courtland Sutton, and RJ Harvey to deliver in a big way.
🏈 Broncos vs. Chiefs player prop bets: Christmas Day
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Player | Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix, QB, Broncos | Over 33.5 pass attempts | -103 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Courtland Sutton, WR, Broncos | Over 4.5 receptions | -135 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| RJ Harvey, RB, Broncos | Score anytime touchdown | -112 via Caesars | ⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Broncos vs. Chiefs best bet
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Bo Nix Over 33.5 pass attempts (-103) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Proof that Broncos coach Sean Payton has removed quarterback Bo Nix’s training wheels: Nix ranks second in the NFL with 551 pass attempts - just one behind the Rams’ Matthew Stafford. Nix has thrown at least 33 passes in five straight games and nine of the last 12 (including four of five on the road).
Even though Denver is a huge Christmas Day favorite, I still expect Nix to air it out against a banged-up Chiefs secondary and clear this number with room to spare. DraftKings’ -103 odds imply a 50.74% win probability. Bet $10 to win $9.71.
🔥 More Broncos vs. Chiefs prop picks
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 17.
Courtland Sutton Over 4.5 receptions (-135) ⭐⭐⭐
In four games prior to his team’s Week 11 bye, Courtland Sutton corralled just 12 passes. Not once did the Broncos’ No. 1 wide receiver record more than four catches. Sutton’s reception totals since the bye: 5, 6, 7, and 6.
One reason for the production increase? Denver quarterback Bo Nix has been locked in on Sutton, to the tune of 38 targets over the past four games (including double-digit targets in each of the last three). DraftKings’ -135 price on this Broncos vs. Chiefs player prop has a 57.81% implied win probability. Risk $10 to collect $7.41.
RJ Harvey to score anytime touchdown (-112) ⭐⭐⭐
The extremely low total in this game suggests we likely won’t see a bunch of touchdown celebrations. That being said, I fully expect RJ Harvey to score, something the Broncos running back has done in four straight games and seven of the last nine.
The Chiefs did keep Harvey out of the end zone in their 22-19 loss at Denver in Week 11. But in five games since, K.C.’s defense has allowed 11 TDs. Tail this TNF prop at Caesars, where the -112 odds imply a 52.83% win probability. Bet $10 to win $8.93.
📺 How to watch Broncos vs. Chiefs: Christmas Day
- Date: Thursday, Dec. 25
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
- TV: Prime Video
🎁 More NFL expert picks for Christmas Day
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for Christmas Day and more.
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