Bills vs. Jaguars Prediction: Best Prediction Market Odds
I'm exploring the Bills vs. Jaguars prediction market ahead of their Wild Card Weekend matchup on Sunday. Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET from EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla. (CBS), with the Bills a 1-point betting favorite. Keep track of all the postseason action with our NFL playoff bracket.
🆚 Who will win Bills vs. Jaguars at prediction markets?
Prediction market via Kalshi. You can use our Kalshi promo code for a $10 bonus by signing up today. Market subject to change.
Note: As of Thursday afternoon, the Bills are the favorite at 51%. Widgets may be behind actual pricing found on Kalshi.com.
The Bills and Jaguars are trading almost evenly at Kalshi, with Buffalo slightly ahead at 51%. As a result, the Yes price for Buffalo to win sits at 51 cents, while the Yes price for Jacksonville is currently at 49 cents.
Buffalo's Yes price translates to American betting odds of -104, while Jacksonville's translates to +104, per our odds converter.
Bills vs. Jaguars prediction: Bills to win
See all of our NFL picks throughout the playoffs.
This one is simple: the Bills have Josh Allen, the best player on the field in this game at the sport's most important position. While the Jaguars enter the matchup red-hot on an eight-game winning streak, their postseason experience is limited compared to the playoff-hardened Bills.
💡 More Wild Card Round predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game during Wild Card Weekend.
⚖️ Bills vs. Jaguars spread & Over/Under at prediction markets
| Outcome | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Bills -2.5 | 46 cents (+117) | 56 cents (-127) |
| Over 51.5 | 51 cents (-104) | 50 cents (+100) |
Our prediction: Over 51.5
The most popular spread is Bills -2.5, though No is trading at 56 cents, meaning most people expect the Jaguars to cover the spread. This game has the highest total of Wild Card Weekend at 51.5 points, and my NFL playoff predictions include these top offenses combining for at least 52 points, which is the favored outcome slightly at 51 cents.
⚖️ How to bet spreads and totals at Kalshi
Kalshi allows you to scroll to set your own line for the spread and Over/Under. The implied chance and Yes and No prices change automatically with the spread you choose, giving you a higher likelihood of winning your prediction, or a greater profit (with lower likelihood).
🙌 Bills vs. Jaguars props at prediction markets
Kalshi offers a wide range of props on every game, including team totals, player touchdowns, receptions, and passing, rushing, and receiving yards on all notable skill players. Simply choose the market of your liking, select your desired player and prop line and make your pick on Yes or No.
Bills vs. Jaguars touchdown scorer props at prediction markets
| Player | Anytime touchdown | First touchdown |
|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 59 cents (-143) | 15 cents (+566) |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | 57 cents (-132) | 16 cents (+525) |
| Josh Allen | 54 cents (-117) | 13 cents (+669) |
| Trevor Lawrence | 36 cents (+117) | 9 cents (+1011) |
| Jakobi Meyers | 32 cents (+212) | 7 cents (+1328) |
| Parker Washington | 32 cents (+212) | 7 cents (+1328) |
| Brenton Strange | 30 cents (+233) | 7 cents (+1328) |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | 29 cents (+244) | 7 cents (+1328) |
| Dalton Kincaid | 29 cents (+244) | 6 cents (+1566) |
| Khalil Shakir | 27 cents (+270) | 5 cents (+1900) |
💰 Bills vs. Jaguars touchdown prediction: Josh Allen to score anytime touchdown (54%)
No quarterback has more rushing touchdowns in NFL history than Josh Allen, who scored 14 during the 2025 regular season. His Yes price to score using his legs sits at 54 cents.
What is Kalshi and how does it work?
Kalshi is a U.S.-regulated prediction market exchange, overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, where you trade on the outcome of real-world events by buying and selling simple contracts that pay out $1 if a specific result happens and $0 if it does not. Think of it like betting with a stock-market-style order book instead of a sportsbook. For example, in an NFL-style market, there could be a contract asking whether the Buffalo Bills will win the Super Bowl. If you think they will, you might buy a “Yes” contract at 35 cents, which implies a 35 percent chance. If the Bills win, that contract settles at $1, meaning you make 65 cents per contract. If they lose, it settles at $0. Prices move based on supply and demand as traders buy and sell, so the market itself reflects the crowd’s collective probability. Unlike traditional betting, you can sell your position early to lock in profit or cut losses, and the focus is on forecasting outcomes rather than beating a fixed house line.
How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?
Kalshi differs from sportsbooks because you are trading against other users in an open market, not betting against a house that sets and moves the line. Prices are driven by supply and demand, you can exit positions early by selling, and odds are expressed as probabilities in cents rather than traditional spreads or moneylines. Sportsbooks, by contrast, offer fixed wagers with built-in vig and no ability to trade once the bet is placed.
Why should I wager on Bills vs. Jaguars at Kalshi?
Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:
- Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
- Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
- Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.
- Availability: Kalshi is available in many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.
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