Best NFL Long Shot Parlay for Week 3: Moneyline Picks for Every Game

Last week, I was three wins short of a perfect 16-leg moneyline parlay. Not too shabby, but room for improvement as I offer my best NFL long-shot parlay for Week 3.

Along with a 16-leg moneyline play, I've provided a five-leg and an extended seven-leg parlay for the NFL picks below.

💰 My best NFL parlay picks for Week 3

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This five-leg parlay consists of two against-the-spread picks, a moneyline play, and two receiver props.

I backed the Chargers to beat the Denver Broncos at home on the moneyline, the Carson Wentz-led Minnesota Vikings to win by at least three at home against the Joe Burrow-less Cincinnati Bengals, and the Seattle Seahawks to beat the New Orleans Saints at home by a converted score. 

Saints quarterback Spencer Rattler is 0-8 as a starter, with the struggling second-year QB losing just one of those games by less than seven points. 

For the props part of the parlay, I've locked in Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts to get at least 36 receiving yards. He did exactly that in the first two games and is facing a Carolina Panthers team that has allowed the most yards per game to tight ends thus far (94). 

Otherwise, Dallas Cowboys star CeeDee Lamb has averaged 111 receiving yards per game, and the Chicago Bears have conceded 169 yards per game to wide receivers. Lamb needs to secure at least 81 receiving yards for the final leg. 

A $10 wager will profit $221 if all five legs hit. 

🎯 My best NFL long-shot parlay for Week 3

I've added two legs to the first parlay, increasing the potential profit to $764.98 on a $10 bet. That's almost $550 more for two additional legs, which consist of Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor to get at least 81 rushing yards and Kansas City Chiefs signal-caller Patrick Mahomes to scamper for at least 26 yards. 

Taylor shredded the Denver Broncos, amassing 165 yards on 25 carries.

The Tennessee Titans are allowing 5.5 yards per attempted carry, the third most. With the Colts committed to creating a balanced attack to open up opportunities for Daniel Jones in the air, I like the chances of Taylor having another productive outing. 

And finally, Mahomes is the Chiefs' primary rushing option. That speaks to the sad state of affairs on the ground for Andy Reid's team. That increases the appeal of this prop, however, as Mahomes had 66 rushing yards against Los Angeles in the opener and 57 at home against the defending Super Bowl champions in Week 2. 

🚀 My best NFL moneyline parlay picks for every game

Last week, my moneyline picks went 13-3, three losses short of earning a $16,000 profit on a $10 wager.

Does that constitute a close-but-no-cigar scenario? Well, considering the three misses consisted of two narrow defeats (Indianapolis Colts, Houston Texans) and the Pittsburgh Steelers' loss to Seattle, I'd say it qualifies. 

For Week 3, I've gone with two underdogs and a near pick'em, the latter of which is the Dallas Cowboys to add to the Chicago Bears' misery at Soldier Field. 

I have the Las Vegas Raiders to beat the Washington Commanders, but that result, admittedly, will likely depend on whether Jayden Daniels is good to go. The other underdog play has the Arizona Cardinals upsetting the injury-ravaged San Francisco 49ers.

The Cardinals' cornerback room has also been hit hard by the injury bug, but I'm banking on Kyler Murray enjoying a similar outing to the one he had at Levi's Stadium the last time he played there. 

In the unlikely scenario that all 15 legs hit, the parlay will yield a $11,834 profit on a $10 wager. If you're looking for additional outsider options, check out Mike Spector's upset picks for Week 3. 

❓NFL parlay betting FAQs

What is a parlay bet in the NFL?

A parlay combines multiple bets (spreads, totals, props, or moneylines) into one wager, with all selections needing to win for the bet to cash. Parlays are popular in NFL betting because they offer bigger payouts.

How do NFL parlay odds work?

Parlay odds are calculated by multiplying the odds of each individual selection, which increases both the potential payout and the risk. The more legs you add, the higher the reward but the lower the probability of winning.

Are parlays a smart betting strategy for the NFL?

Parlays can be fun for chasing large payouts but are harder to win consistently. Many sharp bettors prefer single-game wagers, but NFL parlay bets can add excitement when used responsibly.

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