Bears vs. Commanders Expert Picks for Monday Night Football: MNF Player Props, TD Picks & Best Bets
The top two picks from the NFL draft last year face off tonight on Monday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, ABC), and our Bears vs. Commanders expert picks focus on the best ways to bet this MNF doubleheader finale from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md.
🏈 Bears vs. Commanders expert picks: Monday Night Football
NFL picks for Monday Night Football with pick confidence based on 1-to-5-star scale; see the latest NFL odds for the best available price.
- Game prediction: Over 50 (-109 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop pick: Caleb Williams Over 35.5 yards longest pass completion (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Touchdown scorer pick: Cole Kmet to score anytime TD (+320 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- First touchdown pick: Rome Odunze to score first TD (+1200 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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💰 Best Bears vs. Commanders picks for Monday Night Football
Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.
Best Bears vs. Commanders prediction
Here's what our NFL expert Phil Wood wrote this week on why he's betting on a high-scoring affair in D.C. tonight on Monday Night Football:
⬆️ Over 50 (-109) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
This play is mostly about the Bears' defense. It’s allowing 29.3 points per game, fifth-most in the NFL, and has given up at least 24 points in three of four games. One of those performances came against the Raiders, who are averaging just 16.6 points per game.
Despite the injury to Jayden Daniels, the Commanders are still averaging 26.8 points per game (eighth-most). While the Commanders' defense is allowing the 10th-fewest points per game, it is also giving up the 10th-most passing yards. This means the matchup plays right into the strength of Caleb Williams and the Bears' offense, which is averaging 225.8 passing yards per game, ranking in the top half of the league.
Wood also breaks down his favorite Over/Under bet and best player prop pick tonight in his Bears vs. Commanders prediction.
Best Bears vs. Commanders player prop pick
Here's why our NFL expert Mike Spector is backing QB Caleb Williams as his favorite Over/Under player prop pick for Monday Night Football:
🐻 Caleb Williams Over 35.5 yards longest pass completion (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Caleb Williams was sacked on 10% of dropbacks last year, while being off-target on 53% of his deep throws and averaging 9.3 deep yards per dropback. He has looked much more comfortable so far in Ben Johnson’s offense, and has been much better in large part because his protection has been much better.
This season, Williams’ sack percentage is down to 4.7%, while he is off target on just 37% of his deep throws, and averaging 13.6 deep yards per dropback. If Williams is able to escape pressure, that also increases his chances of connecting on at least one deep throw. The second-year signal caller ranks ninth with a 76.7 QBR on throws outside the pocket.
Spector is also betting on one of Williams' top targets while backing a Commanders rookie to score with his Bears vs. Commanders player props.
Best Bears vs. Commanders anytime touchdown scorer pick
Here's why our NFL expert Esten McLaren is betting on tight end Cole Kmet to score a touchdown as one of his best anytime TD picks for Monday Night Football:
💪 Cole Kmet to score anytime TD (+320) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Commanders struggle mightily to defend tight ends. They've allowed the position to catch 78.6% of their targets for an average of 11.68 yards.
Cole Kmet was targeted a season-high nine times last week - one week after scoring his first touchdown of the season. Though he caught just three of the nine targets, he turned them into 46 yards. This Bears offense is still evolving under new head coach Ben Johnson, and I expect the offensive guru to lean into the hot hand in an excellent positional matchup.
McLaren is also betting on Commanders QB Jayden Daniels to reach pay dirt in his Monday Night Football anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
Best Bears vs. Commanders first touchdown scorer pick
Here's why our NFL expert Corey Scott is betting on Tyler Allgeier to score the first touchdown on Monday Night Football:
🥇 Rome Odunze to score first TD (+1200) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
I was shocked to see Rome Odunze available at +1200, when most of our best sports betting apps list the Bears receiver anywhere from +900 to +1000.
Odunze has scored five touchdowns through four games. He has scored the first Bears touchdown in three contests, including cashing as the first overall TD scorer in a Sept. 21 win over the Cowboys.
Scott is also targeting Commanders rusher Jacory Croskey-Merritt and Bears QB Caleb Williams with his Monday Night Football first touchdown scorer predictions.
Best Bears vs. Commanders same-game parlay
Here's what our NFL expert LJ Blut has cooked up for his best Bears vs. Commanders same game parlay for Monday Night Football:
🚀 Best Bears vs. Commanders parlay for MNF
- Zach Ertz to score anytime TD (+210) ⭐⭐⭐
- Rome Odunze to score anytime TD (+140) ⭐⭐⭐
- Luke McCaffrey to score anytime TD (+340) ⭐⭐
Best odds: +3519 via FanDuel ($10 to win $351.98)
📺 How to watch Monday Night Football: Bears vs. Commanders
- Date: Monday, Oct. 13
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Northwest Stadium (Landover, Md.)
- TV: ABC
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