Super Bowl Halftime Show First Song Odds at Prediction Markets: 'Chambea' Rises at Kalshi

The hottest topic ahead of the Super Bowl halftime show every year is how will the headlining artist begin the show. This year is no different, and we're diving in and exploring the Super Bowl halftime show odds at predictions markets, with a look at the favorites and long shots at Kalshi.

Prediction markets offer a variety of options for fans of the Big Game, and we outlined them all in our Super Bowl halftime show predictions. However, we're focusing specifically on the first song with this one, the most popular of the Super Bowl halftime show odds & props.

Let's take a look at the favorite, a long shot, and, of course, our prediction.

📊 Super Bowl halftime show first song odds at prediction markets

Prediction market via Kalshi. You can use our Kalshi promo code for a $10 bonus by signing up today. Market subject to change. Kalshi isn't available in Canada.

Kalshi offers an endless list of songs for those looking to predict what Bad Bunny's halftime opener will be, with "Tití Me Preguntó" trading as a significant favorite. Let's get right into our prediction, though.

💰 Prediction: "Chambea" (13% chance | +670 odds)

"Chambea" absolutely caught fire at Kalshi on Saturday night after online personality Trent Attyah posted on X that Bad Bunny would start his performance with the 2017 song. Trent claims to be 4-1 in the halftime show first song market, and he said he received "some credible information from a source working the halftime show" that "Chambea" would kick off the performance.

It's since soared to the second-biggest favorite on Kalshi, going from a 3% chance at 7:28 p.m. ET on Feb. 7 to a 15% chance at 8:44 p.m., one hour after his post.

Trent is known online as the "Fade God," since you generally want to pick against him if you're looking to make money. However, I'm doing something crazy here and riding the "Chambea" wave.

If this is a bit too spicy for you, I'd suggest taking a look at Kalshi's "What songs will be played at the half-time show?" prediction market. "Chambea" is listed there with a 42% chance of being performed, which means you'd earn a profit of $14 on a $10 investment on Yes if the song is performed.

Where there's smoke, there's fire. We wouldn't be hearing about "Chambea" being performed first if it wasn't at least going to be played in some capacity.

👑 Favorite: "Tití Me Preguntó" (60% chance | -143 odds)

If you buy the favorite, you'd earn roughly $7 for every $10 you invest in Yes if Bad Bunny opens his set with the song that features his eighth-most viewed music video on YouTube - all eight have been watched more than a billion times each.

This has been the favorite at Kalshi essentially all month, as Yes on "Tití Me Preguntó" rose from around 40% early Feb. 1 to nearly 70% by the end of the day. It's hovered around a 60% chance ever since.

🎯 Long shot: "MONACO" (4% chance | +2400 odds)

Our C Jackson Cowart is taking "MONACO" as the first song as part of his definitive Bad Bunny halftime show setlist, so let's ride with that as our featured long shot.

Here's what Cowart wrote for why he believes "MONACO" could open the halftime show: