NFL AI Predictions Week 3: ATS Picks & Score Projections for Every Game
Our NFL AI predictions have gone 3-2 in each of the first two weeks this season behind the AI model's NFL picks - a good sign for those tailing our SBR bot and bad news for those competing against it in our weekly NFL contest.
We've trained the latest model from ChatGPT to make its weekly NFL predictions and projected scores for every game based on real-time search and advanced metrics, while offering a full box score and game preview for its five most confident picks.
If you can beat the bot in our free weekly NFL contest, you'll enter a draw to win SBR swag while competing for more than $5,000 in total prizes.
🤖 NFL AI predictions for Week 3
NFL AI predictions and score projections via ChatGPT simulation model with ATS pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale and latest NFL odds.
| Prediction | ATS pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Bills 27, Dolphins 17 | Dolphins +12.5 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Falcons 24, Panthers 17 | Falcons -5.5 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Patriots 21, Steelers 20 | Patriots +1.5 | ⭐⭐ |
| Buccaneers 23, Jets 16 | Buccaneers -6.5 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Commanders 23, Raiders 21 | Raiders +3.5 | ⭐⭐ |
| Eagles 24, Rams 20 | Eagles -3.5 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bengals 24, Vikings 23 | Bengals +3 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Texans 24, Jaguars 23 | Texans +2.5 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Packers 26, Browns 16 | Packers -7.5 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Colts 23, Titans 20 | Titans +4.5 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Chargers 27, Broncos 20 | Chargers -2.5 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Seahawks 24, Saints 13 | Seahawks -7.5 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| 49ers 23, Cardinals 20 | 49ers -2.5 | ⭐⭐ |
| Cowboys 30, Bears 20 | Cowboys -1 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Chiefs 28, Giants 17 | Chiefs -6 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Ravens 27, Lions 24 | Lions +5.5 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
🐬 Dolphins (+12.5) at Bills
🚨 Dolphins vs. Bills projected score
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
| Bills | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 27 |
🔢 Bills projected stats
- Passing leader: Josh Allen – 24/36, 281 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: James Cook – 16 rushes, 74 yards
- Receiving leader: Keon Coleman – 5 receptions, 69 yards, 1 TD
🔢 Dolphins projected stats
- Passing leader: Tua Tagovailoa – 23/34, 244 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: De’Von Achane – 11 rushes, 58 yards
- Receiving leader: Tyreek Hill – 6 receptions, 94 yards, 1 TD
🔮 Dolphins vs. Bills prediction
Miami has a simple cover path: lean on motion and the quick game, get Tyreek Hill the ball in space, and let De’Von Achane stress the edges so Tua can live on time. If the Dolphins stay efficient on first down, they can keep Buffalo out of its best pressure looks and turn drives into chips at the scoreboard. This isn’t a track meet in our sims - it’s a lower-possession night with a couple of Miami explosives that either keep them within a score or open a late backdoor.
Buffalo will still look like Buffalo: Josh Allen moving the chains, James Cook keeping them on schedule, Dalton Kincaid cleaning up the middle. That’s why we project the Bills to win. But if Miami avoids short fields and forces a few red-zone decisions, those possessions lean to threes instead of sevens. Divisional familiarity plus Miami’s speed creates just enough swing plays to stay inside a big number.
⚡️ Chargers (-2.5) vs. Broncos
🚨 Broncos vs. Chargers projected score
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| Chargers | 7 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
🔢 Chargers projected stats
- Passing leader: Justin Herbert - 29/41, 309 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: Omarion Hampton - 15 rushes, 78 yards, 1 TD
- Receiving leader: Quentin Johnston - 7 receptions, 89 yards, 1 TD
🔢 Broncos projected stats
- Passing leader: Bo Nix - 22/35, 232 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: J.K. Dobbins - 18 rushes, 73 yards
- Receiving leader: Courtland Sutton - 6 receptions, 82 yards
🔮 Broncos vs. Chargers prediction
Harbaugh doesn’t need to reinvent anything here. If the Chargers win first down with Hampton and the quick game, Herbert can live on schedule and pick spots down the seams for Johnston. McConkey’s injury nudges L.A. toward heavier Johnston/Allen usage, which still profiles as efficient against Denver’s off-coverage looks.
Denver’s path is to turn this into a fourth-quarter coin flip, and Mack’s IR stint does help Bo Nix breathe a bit. But our sims show the Chargers controlling neutral downs and finishing better in the red zone, which keeps a TD-sized cushion intact.
🟢 Seahawks (-7.5) vs. Saints
🚨 Saints vs. Seahawks projected score
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 |
| Seahawks | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
🔢 Seahawks projected stats
- Passing leader: Sam Darnold - 21/32, 238 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: Kenneth Walker III - 18 rushes, 86 yards, 1 TD
- Receiving leader: Jaxon Smith-Njigba - 6 receptions, 78 yards, 1 TD
🔢 Saints projected stats
- Passing leader: Spencer Rattler - 19/33, 205 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
- Rushing leader: Alvin Kamara - 15 rushes, 62 yards
- Receiving leader: Chris Olave - 7 receptions, 88 yards, 1 TD
🔮 Saints vs. Seahawks prediction
Seattle has a straightforward home script: win first down with Walker, keep Darnold on schedule with the quick game, and let JSN and Cooper Kupp stress the seams and option routes. If the Seahawks stay out of obvious passing downs, they can avoid New Orleans’ pressure packages and stack four steady scoring drives.
For the Saints, the path is chunk plays and short fields. Rattler has flashes, and Kamara can keep them on schedule, but our sims lean toward field-goal stalls when Seattle squeezes the perimeter and forces third-and-medium. Add the Saints’ mid-week injury list and Seattle’s ability to tilt field position, and the gap widens late.
🤠 Cowboys (-1) at Bears
🚨 Cowboys vs. Bears projected score
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | 7 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30 |
| Bears | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
🔢 Cowboys projected stats
- Passing leader: Dak Prescott - 26/38, 312 yards, 2 TD
- Rushing leader: Javonte Williams - 17 rushes, 82 yards, 1 TD
- Receiving leader: CeeDee Lamb - 7 receptions, 101 yards, 1 TD
🔢 Bears projected stats
- Passing leader: Caleb Williams - 24/41, 287 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
- Rushing leader: D’Andre Swift - 12 rushes, 51 yards
- Receiving leader: DJ Moore - 6 receptions, 92 yards, 1 TD
🔮 Cowboys vs. Bears prediction
Dallas wants to keep Prescott in rhythm, feed Williams on early downs, and let Lamb win the leverage battles inside. If the Cowboys stay efficient on first down, they can control pace and stack long, methodical drives. That’s a tough ask for a Chicago defense that’s banged up on the back end (Kyler Gordon, T.J. Edwards) and thin at corner after Jaylon Johnson’s setback.
Chicago’s counter is explosive plays from Caleb Williams to DJ Moore and Rome Odunze, but sustained answers require stops and shorter fields. Our sims tilt to Dallas finishing drives while the Bears trade a couple of touchdowns for field goals. With the market at Bears -1/-1.5 in spots, we land Cowboys by multiple scores more often than not.
🔴 Chiefs (-6) at Giants
🚨 Chiefs vs. Giants projected score
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
| Giants | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
🔢 Chiefs projected stats
- Passing leader: Patrick Mahomes - 27/39, 300 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: Isiah Pacheco - 15 rushes, 63 yards
- Receiving leader: Travis Kelce - 7 receptions, 84 yards, 1 TD
🔢 Giants projected stats
- Passing leader: Russell Wilson - 22/35, 214 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: Cam Skattebo - 13 rushes, 56 yards
- Receiving leader: Malik Nabers - 7 receptions, 95 yards, 1 TD
🔮 Chiefs vs. Giants prediction
This sets up as a “do-the-simple-things-well” game for Kansas City. Mahomes can live in the intermediate windows with Kelce, sprinkle in Pacheco on early downs, and trust a few schemed touches if Worthy is active. The Chiefs don’t need fireworks - just steady, on-time offense and a couple of red-zone conversions.
New York’s puncher’s chance is explosives to Malik Nabers and a clean third-down day for Russell Wilson. If the Giants are playing from behind, though, KC’s pressure looks tend to squeeze the margins and force field goals. Our sims keep landing on a comfortable road win with late separation.
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