5 Super Bowl Long Shot Bets to Make Now: Seahawks vs. Patriots Best Long Shot Picks

While we'll never get to experience the unrivalled thrill of playing in the Big Game, hitting one of these 5 Super Bowl long shot bets to make now will provide a pretty good consolation. 

You can make any number of bets on Super Bowl 2026, but I've narrowed the scope to five appealing long-shot picks, so you can lock in your favorite and rest up for Sunday's showcase event (6:30 p.m. ET, NBC). The picks below are part of our Super Bowl predictions. 

🎯 5 Super Bowl long shot bets to make now

See our latest expert NFL picks for Super Bowl 60. 

🔴 Patriots' Drake Maye to join all-time greats with 300+ passing yards (+580)

Probability: 14.7%

As I covered in my Seahawks vs. Patriots prediction, Seattle's defense is extraordinarily effective at stopping the run game. That should put the ball in Maye's hands more often. 

I'm also expecting the Seahawks to be in the lead late, which should force the Patriots to throw even more. According to our Super Bowl weather forecast, the conditions will be ideal for a productive passing outing.

Accomplishing the feat isn't as improbable as you might think, with 21 QBs tossing for at least 300 yards in previous Super Bowls. Our Corey Scott believes Maye will be prepped and ready to take off with the ball, too, which he covered in his Super Bowl same-game parlay. 

🟢 Can Seahawks' Jake Bobo score a TD in consecutive games? (+1150)

Probability: 8%

Better late than never, right, Jake Bobo? 

Bobo didn't score a TD all season, nor did he punch it in during the Divisional Round. However, the Seahawks' wide receiver hit pay dirt in the NFC Championship Game against the Los Angeles Rams, so the precedent is set. 

While his scoring is unlikely, Sam Darnold must have confidence in the rarely used receiver after his instrumental TD. Bobo will also be feeling it, and what better time for an unsung hero than in the biggest game of the season, if not a career? 

🟢 Jaxon Smith-Njigba to score on first Seahawks' drive, start Super Bowl with a bang (+1000)

Probability: 9.1%

Smith-Njigba is receiving the third-shortest Super Bowl MVP odds behind Maye and Darnold, and he's mine and colleague C Jackson Cowart's pick to win the coveted award. 

So, what better way to start his Super Bowl MVP-winning performance than by scoring on the first Seahawks' drive?

The All-Pro wide receiver scored on the Seahawks' first possession twice during the regular season, in Week 3 against the New Orleans Saints and in Week 10 versus the Arizona Cardinals.

That's enough for me to take a punt.

🔴 Patriots' Hunter Henry to score 2 or more TDs (+2200)

Probability: 4.35%

Henry scored 2 TDs once this season, against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 3. He scored 7 TDs overall, along with one against the Los Angeles Chargers in the Wild Card Round. 

Maye targeted Henry 87 times during the regular season, which is more than 5 per game. That number shrank to 3.33 per game in the playoffs, but that was more down to inclement weather and a correlating decrease in passing attempts than anything else.

Henry caught 69% of the passes thrown his way in the regular season, providing a reliable option for Maye. 

🟢 Seahawks to win by exactly 6 points (+1900)

Probability: 5%

I'm predicting the Seahawks will win the Super Bowl and cover the 4.5-point spread by securing a 6-point margin of victory. My final score prediction is 27-21, which, if you're wondering, you can lock in at FanDuel (+12500).  

That score will also cash the Over on the projected 45.5-point total. 

It will mark the first time since the betting favorite has covered the spread since 2020, when the Kansas City Chiefs beat the San Francisco 49ers 31-20. You might be surprised to learn how well the underdog has fared recently, which I discuss in the Super Bowl underdog history.