UAB vs. Memphis Prediction, Odds & Score Picks: AAC Final Best Bets

UAB covered the spread in 65% of its conference games this season and both in the AAC tournament, forming the bedrock of our AAC final prediction for when they play Memphis today.
UAB vs. Memphis Prediction, Odds & Score Picks: AAC Final Best Bets
Pictured: Memphis Tigers forward Dain Dainja controls the ball against the Wichita State Shockers. Photo by Chris Jones via Imagn Images

Get ready for an explosive track meet in the AAC final, as UAB and Memphis tend to play some fast-paced games.

Our UAB vs. Memphis prediction, odds, and expert picks analyze whether the Blazers can be a bid-stealer from what is typically a one-bid league or if Memphis culminates its dominance with a tournament championship.

I went 4-0 yesterday with my four college basketball plays and am looking to end conference tournament action on a high heading into March Madness, with the below picks accompanying my Tennessee vs. Florida prediction

Today's tilt occurs at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas, with tipoff set for 3 p.m. ET (ESPN). 

๐Ÿ’ฐ UAB vs. Memphis predictions, expert picks & best bets: AAC Final 

Here are my best UAB vs. Memphis predictions, expert picks, and best bets today for the AAC final, with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our college basketball picks along with our guide on how to bet on college basketball.

  • Against the spread pick: UAB +4.5 (-105 via FanDuel) vs. Memphis โญโญ
  • My best player prop bet: Dain Dainja Over 8.5 rebounds (+110 via bet365) โญโญโญ
  • Exact score prediction: Memphis 82, UAB 79 (+16000 via DraftKings)

๐Ÿ‘‰ Check out our latest March Madness projections with our SBR Bracketology ahead of the NCAA Tournament!

๐Ÿ€ UAB vs. Memphis ATS prediction & best player prop bet pick

Here's why I'm betting on UAB to cover the spread (+4.5) while targeting Dain Dainja Over 8.5 rebounds as my best player prop bet pick for today:

โœ… UAB to cover the spread (+4.5) โญโญ

UAB lost its two regular-season meetings with Memphis by scores of 100-77 and 88-81. The first meeting saw Memphis score an AAC season-high points at the rim at the time, as Tigers forward Dain Dainja had his way with Yaxel Lendeborg.

But I expect Blazers head coach Andy Kennedy to throw the kitchen sink at Memphis in this matchup, constantly changing defenses and extending his trapping zone more than usual.

The last three meetings between these teams have averaged 80 possessions. But I expect UAB to take a long look at yesterdayโ€™s Memphis-Tulane game film and replicate what the Green Wave did so well to get the tempo in their favor.

Although they are not among the March Madness odds favorites, UAB covered the spread in 65% of its conference games this season and both in the AAC tournament, so I am backing the Blazers on the point spread.

All of our top sports betting sites are in unison with a spread of +4.5, but FanDuel is the only one charging less than -108 odds to back the underdogs.

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: -105 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $9.52)

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๐Ÿ”ฅ Dain Dainja Over 8.5 rebounds โญโญโญ

Dain Dainja had a season-high 17 rebounds and one of his seven double-doubles in the second meeting against UAB.

With eight rebounds in the first meeting, he went slightly under this projected total and didn't grab a single offensive rebound. That is unlikely to happen in this matchup, as he has multiple offensive rebounds in six of the previous seven games.

I am excited to back Dainjaโ€™s rebounding total at plus-money odds in a game that should have many possessions. I expect him to finish with nine-plus rebounds for the fifth time in his last eight games.

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: +110 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $11)

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๐ŸŽฏ Expert UAB vs. Memphis score prediction

๐Ÿ”ฎ Expert score prediction: Memphis 82, UAB 79

Memphis went 6-2 ATS as an underdog this season compared to 9-16 ATS as a favorite. That is why Iโ€™m predicting UAB to hang tough in this game with a final score of Memphis 82, UAB 79.

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: +16000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1600)

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๐Ÿ“Š Live UAB vs. Memphis odds & latest betting splits

Here are the latest odds for UAB vs. Memphis, which update live in real time. You can also check out our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool for the latest college basketball odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your region.

๐Ÿ”ข UAB vs. Memphis opening odds

Here's a look at the opening odds for UAB vs. Memphis according to BetMGM. 

  • Spread: UAB +4.5 (-110) | Memphis -4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: UAB +170 | Memphis -210
  • Over/Under: Over 161.5 (-105) | Under 161.5 (-115)

๐Ÿ† Who will win UAB vs. Memphis?

As of 6:45 a.m. ET, Memphis is favored by 4.5 points to beat UAB with moneyline odds of -210 at BetMGM, which suggests a 67.74% win probability for the Tigers. We're predicting an 82-79 win for Memphis as our final score projection.

So far, 58% of bettors have wagered against the spread on Memphis -4.5, while 56% expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 161.5 points.

๐Ÿ“บ How to watch UAB vs. Memphis today

๐Ÿ“… Date: Sunday, March 16
๐Ÿ•— Time: 3 p.m. ET
๐Ÿ“ Location: Dickies Arena (Fort Worth, Texas)
๐Ÿ“บ TV: ESPN
๐Ÿ’ป Streaming: ESPN+

โ“ UAB vs. Memphis FAQs

Who's favored to win the AAC tournament?

Memphis is favored to win the AAC tournament. 

Who is favored to win UAB vs. Memphis?

Memphis is favored to beat UAB. The Tigers are trading at -210 at our best sports betting apps, giving them a 67.74% implied probability.

What are the betting odds for UAB vs. Memphis?

The latest spread is Memphis -4.5 (-110) | UAB +4.5 (-110), with a total of 160.5 points (-110).

What will be the final score of UAB vs. Memphis?

We're predicting a final score of Memphis 82, UAB 79 entering today's matchup at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas. 

What time is UAB vs. Memphis today?

Tipoff for UAB vs. Memphis is slated for today at 3 p.m. ET.

โ›น๏ธ Best college basketball betting sites

Looking to bet on college basketball tonight? Here are our best March Madness betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best March Madness betting promos ahead of the NCAA Tournament.

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