🏀 Texas vs. South Carolina Prediction & Odds: Women's SEC Championship Picks (March 8)

After splitting the regular-season series, No. 4 Texas meets No. 3 South Carolina in the SEC Tournament final, with an automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament on the line.

My best Texas vs. South Carolina prediction for today's 3 p.m. ET (ESPN) game at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, S.C., focuses on the defensive nature of each of the first two meetings between these teams. My final score prediction below highlights why we should expect another low-scoring, tightly contested game between these two.

🏀 Texas vs. South Carolina picks & odds today: March 8

See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 4.25 units

💰 Texas vs. South Carolina prediction & best bet

Under 135.5 (-110)

These two teams have already met twice this season, and each of the previous two games failed to top 133 points. 

Both of these offenses are averaging over 85 points per game, but the defenses are both allowing 57.3 or fewer per contest. Though the offenses have each managed to get into the 60s in the two prior meetings, no team has reached 70 yet. That said, these games have been so close that overtime is a legitimate concern for this Under.

DraftKings is offering Under 135.5 for -110, and I wouldn't play the total any lower than that.

Score prediction: South Carolina 66, Texas 65

🔥 Best Texas vs. South Carolina team prop bet

Texas to win by 1-5 (+420)

No matter who wins, this is going to be a close game. Texas won the first meeting 66-64, while South Carolina won the second meeting 68-65. In that second meeting, Texas actually led with less than seven minutes remaining, despite the game being played on South Carolina's home court.

This game is also being played in South Carolina, but at a neutral site, rather than at Colonial Life Arena. So while there are likely to be more South Carolina fans in attendance, I give a slight edge to Texas, which has already beaten South Carolina on a neutral floor. 

FanDuel is the only sportsbook offering this prop. +420 provides incredible value, as it would be shocking to see either team win by more than five, considering the first two matchups.

🚀 Texas vs. South Carolina same-game parlay

You could consider taking Texas +2.5 to get this parlay at +262. However, Texas has already proven it can beat South Carolina, and the Longhorns almost knocked off the Gamecocks in their own building. Therefore, I'll back Texas for a solid price to inflate a parlay that already feels like a bit of a toss-up.

💡 How I'm betting Texas vs. South Carolina

Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.

It's hard to be confident in much for this game, which is why I'm only wagering 2.5 units total. Normally, I'd wager at least four units if playing a total, ATS or moneyline, and team prop. However, these teams have been very evenly matched this season, and their team stats are almost identical. The lack of confidence in either side is also why my team prop requires very little risk for a very solid reward.

📊 Live Texas vs. South Carolina odds

South Carolina opened as 1.5-point favorites, and the spread has grown to 2.5. This isn't surprising considering the game is being played in South Carolina, but I wouldn't expect the spread to get any larger. The total hasn't moved, but I'd expect a late push on the Under due to the score of the first two meetings. So get in on the Under sooner rather than later.

📈 Texas vs. South Carolina betting trends

📺 How to watch Texas vs. South Carolina

• Date: Sunday, March 8
• Tipoff: 3 p.m. ET
• Location: Bon Secours Wellness Arena (Greenville, S.C.)
• TV: ESPN