🏀 Nevada vs. Auburn Prediction Tonight: NIT Quarterfinals Picks, Parlay & Odds
The final spot in the NIT semifinals will be decided tonight as Nevada faces Auburn in a quarterfinal matchup. Tipoff from Neville Arena in Auburn, Ala., is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2), with Auburn now listed as an 8.5-point betting favorite (it was favored by 9.5 earlier in the day).
My Nevada vs. Auburn prediction tonight backs the favorite to take advantage of a clearly overmatched mid-major opponent as part of our NIT predictions for Wednesday.
🏀 Nevada vs. Auburn picks & odds: NIT quarterfinals
See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Pick | Best odds | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn -9.5 | -102 via FanDuel | 1.5u -> 1.47u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 154.5 | -110 via Caesars | 0.5u -> 0.45u | ⭐⭐ |
| Kevin Overton Over 16.5 points | -110 at bet365 | 1.5u -> 1.36u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 3.5 units | Max profit: 3.28 units
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🏆 Who will win Nevada vs. Auburn?
I trust Auburn to win this one dominantly behind another solid offensive performance. The defense has been an issue all year, but the Tigers took care of business in the first two rounds of the NIT, and they should do so again here.
Score prediction: Auburn 84, Nevada 74
💰 Nevada vs. Auburn prediction & best bet
Auburn -9.5 (-102)
Nevada had some plucky wins in conference play this year, but the Wolf Pack didn't excel at anything in particular aside from getting to the stripe. Shooting efficiently was a problem for this squad - Nevada ranks 238th in effective field-goal percentage this year (49.9) and 256th since Feb. 1 (49.5).
Auburn's defense struggles, but the offense works - the Tigers rank 15th in offensive efficiency this year (124.8) and 23rd since Feb. 1 (123.7). Younger players have been getting more run, but I trust the scheme enough to buy Auburn to cover the -9.5 for -102 (50.5%) at FanDuel.
🔥 Best Nevada vs. Auburn player prop bet
Kevin Overton Over 16.5 points (-110)
While getting relegated to the NIT has led Auburn to change up rotations to a degree, Kevin Overton is averaging 36.5 minutes per game thus far, more than the 34.3 he averaged in the SEC tournament. Overton has been jacking it up from 3-point land in March, notching at least nine attempts in four of five games while averaging 19.8 points per postseason contest.
That 3-point volume is enticing versus a Nevada defense that is pedestrian on the perimeter. Overton should continue to get the volume of shots necessary to soar over this line, which is giving too much weight to Overton's full-season average of 13.9 points per game. Back him for Over 16.5 for -110 (52.4%) at bet365.
🤑 Nevada vs. Auburn betting splits tonight
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Bet type 📊 | % of bets 🎟️ | % of handle 💰 |
|---|---|---|
| Nevada ML (+310) | 75% | 36% |
| Auburn ML (-400) | 25% | 64% |
| Nevada +8.5 | 64% | 64% |
| Auburn -8.5 | 36% | 36% |
| Over 153.5 | 62% | 54% |
| Under 153.5 | 38% | 46% |
🚀 Nevada vs. Auburn same-game parlay
Although Auburn may not get out to a super fast start, I like the Tigers to finish strong to win and cover against Nevada - their offense is averaging 48.5 points per second half in the NIT thus far.
💵 Nevada vs. Auburn SGP picks
- Auburn -11.5
- Auburn 2H -3.5
- Nevada Over 67.5
Best odds: +460 via FanDuel (0.25u -> 1.15u)
💡 How I'm betting Nevada vs. Auburn: NIT strategy
I mentioned this in my Illinois State vs. Dayton prediction, but I'm really interested in a potential Dayton vs. Auburn matchup in the semifinal. I'm limiting myself to two units of action on the less interesting quarterfinal contests as a result, but I am invested in both favorites advancing on Wednesday.
📊 Live Nevada vs. Auburn odds: NIT quarterfinals
Auburn opened as an 8.5-point favorite and is now a 9.5-point favorite, albeit with the juice favoring Nevada. I wouldn't be surprised to see this one tick back down to 8.5 before tip - but I want exposure to Auburn at the current number in case it doesn't.
📈 Nevada vs. Auburn betting trends
| Nevada | Statistic | Auburn |
|---|---|---|
| 24-12 | Record | 19-16 |
| 21-15 | ATS record | 14-12 |
| 21-15 | O/U record | 20-15 |
| 71st | KenPom ranking | 40th |
| 115.8 (78th) | Adj. offensive rating (rank) | 125.2 (11th) |
| 103.9 (77th) | Adj. defensive rating (rank) | 106.6 (120th) |
📺 How to watch Nevada vs. Auburn: NIT quarterfinals
- Date: Wednesday, March 25
- Tipoff: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: Neville Arena (Auburn, Ala.)
- TV: ESPN2
- Streaming: ESPN+
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