NC State vs. Louisville Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Basketball Picks Today (Feb. 9)
Last Updated: February 9, 2026 2:31 PM EST • 2 minute read X Social Google News Link
In the first of two major college basketball matchups tonight, my NC State vs. Louisville prediction expects the Wolfpack to bring their bite on the road against an inconsistent Cardinals team.
No. 24 Louisville is a 6.5-point betting favorite for tonight's 7 p.m. ET (ESPN) matchup at KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky., in what could be the highest-scoring game of Monday's college basketball predictions.
And don't miss our Arizona vs. Kansas prediction for the other major ESPN matchup tonight.
🏀 NC State vs. Louisville predictions
See our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds.
| Prediction | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| NC State +6.5 | -105 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 161.5 | -110 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Paul McNeil Jr. 4+ made 3-pointers | +124 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 NC State vs. Louisville best bet: NC State +6.5 (-110)
Check out all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.
NC State is built to play against teams like Louisville. The Wolfpack have an offense ranked No. 21 in adjusted efficiency and No. 24 in PPG (85.7), thanks to a lethal quartet of scorers.
Given Louisville's offense-first approach and the pace it plays at, NC State is well-suited to keep up and push a defense that's allowed 79-plus points in five of its last 10 ACC games.
The Cardinals are just 2-8 ATS in conference play since the start of January. Meanwhile, NC State is finding its stride under Will Wade, covering in eight of its last 13.
Score prediction: Louisville 84, NC State 80
🔥 Best NC State vs. Louisville player prop: Paul McNeil Jr. 4+ made 3-pointers (+124)
When Paul McNeil Jr. is on, he's one of the most lethal scorers in the country. The sophomore is 14th in the nation in 3-point percentage (43.5%) and is averaging 3.3 made threes per game for NC State.
McNeil has been even scarier in conference play, shooting 45% from behind the arc, and he's hit at least four triples in four of his last eight, including two of his last three.
Louisville's perimeter defense has been a problem all season, with the Cardinals allowing the fourth-most made threes per game (9.6) and the third-highest 3-point percentage (37.3%) in ACC games.
📊 Live NC State vs. Louisville odds
📈 NC State vs. Louisville betting trends
| NC State | Statistic | Louisville |
|---|---|---|
| 18-6 | W-L record | 17-6 |
| 13-11 | ATS record | 11-12 |
| 15-9 | O/U record | 9-14 |
| 5-0 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
📺 How to watch NC State vs. Louisville
- Date: Monday, Feb. 9
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: KFC Yum! Center (Louisville, Ky.)
- TV: ESPN
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