🏀 NC State vs. Duke Prediction & Odds: College Basketball Picks Today (Feb. 19)
Last Updated: February 19, 2026 2:39 PM EST • 2 minute read X Social Google News Link
Riding a 16-game winning streak, No. 9 Duke will look to win its 20th game of the season tonight against its old Tobacco Road rival, NC State.
The Blue Devils are a 10.5-point betting favorite at home from Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, N.C., for tonight's 7 p.m. ET tip (ESPN), and my NC State vs. Duke prediction doesn't expect the Wolfpack to bring more bite than the Cameron Crazies.
And don't miss our LSU vs. Ole Miss prediction for the second matchup of ESPN's doubleheader.
🏀 NC State vs. Duke picks & odds today: Feb. 19
See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Bet type | Prediction | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game prediction | Duke -10.5 (-110) | 1u -> 0.91u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over/Under total | Over 140.5 (-110) | 1u -> 0.91u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.82 units
💰 NC State vs. Duke prediction & best bet
Duke -10.5 (-110)
After an ugly start to the season, Duke has been among the hottest teams in the country since December. The Blue Devils have climbed the women's March Madness odds behind a defense that's allowing the fewest PPG in ACC play (54.6).
With Canadian Toby Fournier (2.2 BPG) protecting the rim, NC State's offense has a difficult matchup. The Wolfpack rely on their inside game, averaging just 18.9 threes per game.
Meanwhile, Wes Moore's team has had defensive issues this season, and could struggle to stop Fournier inside and the guard combo of Ashlon Jackson and Taina Mair on the outside.
Score prediction: Duke 88, NC State 75
💡 How I'm betting NC State vs. Duke
Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.
Duke may have started the season 3-6, but the Blue Devils have been a force in the ACC. They've yet to lose a conference game and have been blowing out opponents at home. That's why I'm bullish on the Blue Devils, despite the large spread (I'd take them up to -12.5).
Fournier is one of the best players in the country and has nasty guards supporting her in Jackson and Mair. That trio has helped Duke beat unranked ACC opponents at home by an average of 31.1 points.
📊 Live NC State vs. Duke odds
Duke opened as a 10.5-point betting favorite, but this spread could grow even larger. The Blue Devils have played seven ACC opponents at home this year, and only two have lost by less than 14 (North Carolina, Virginia). NC State, on the other hand, just lost by double digits on the road against Notre Dame.
📺 How to watch NC State vs. Duke
- Date: Thursday, Feb. 19
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium (Durham, N.C.)
- TV: ESPN
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