Michigan vs. Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds: Can Wolverines Survive on the Road?
In a rivalry showdown between top-10 teams, my Michigan vs. Michigan State prediction projects the Wolverines to eke out a road win on Friday night.
No. 3 Michigan is a 1.5-point betting favorite against No. 7 Michigan State at some sportsbooks, with tonight's matchup being a pick'em at others, ahead of the 8 p.m. ET tip on FOX from Breslin Center in East Lansing, Mich.
🏀 Michigan vs. Michigan State predictions
See our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds.
| Prediction | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan ML | -110 via Caesars | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Under 148.5 | -115 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Yaxel Lendeborg 15+ points | +125 via bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Michigan vs. Michigan State best bet: Michigan ML (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Check out all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.
This is among the best matchups of the year, between the No. 1 (Michigan State) and No. 2 (Michigan) rated defenses in adjusted efficiency. However, the Wolverines' offense will be the difference, with Michigan ranked No. 11 in adjusted offensive efficiency and MSU ranked No. 43.
Dusty May's program is better equipped to win in multiple ways, which is why Michigan is 4-0 against ranked opponents thus far (including beating undefeated Nebraska on Tuesday).
Michigan has won those games by an average margin of 25.7 points. The Spartans have lost each of their last two top-25 matchups.
Score prediction: Michigan 71, Michigan State 69
🔥 Best Michigan vs. Michigan State player prop: Yaxel Lendeborg 15+ points (+125) ⭐⭐⭐
This is going to be a bar fight between two elite defenses, but Yaxel Lendeborg was a Wooden Award odds favorite at one point for a reason.
The UAB transfer has more than lived up to the hype, sitting No. 2 in the country in BPR for his two-way ability. And his size and power could be a problem against Michigan State.
In the Spartans' last three ranked matchups, the opposing team's star forward (Caleb Wilson, Cameron Boozer, Pryce Sandfort) has averaged 16.3 PPG.
Landeborg has gone for 15-plus in two of his last three.
📊 Live Michigan vs. Michigan State odds
📈 Michigan vs. Michigan State betting trends
| Michigan | Statistic | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| 19-1 | W-L record | 19-2 |
| 9-11 | ATS record | 12-9 |
| 7-13 | O/U record | 6-15 |
| 5-0 | Last 5 games | 5-0 |
📺 How to watch Michigan vs. Michigan State
- Date: Friday, Jan. 30
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Breslin Center (East Lansing, Mich.)
- TV: FOX
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