🏀 McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin Prediction: Southland Championship Odds & Picks (March 11)
Our McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin prediction considers the potential for tired legs on the McNeese side after a quick turnaround following Tuesday's late-night affair. The action in the Southland Championship tips of from Townsley Law Arena in Lake Charles, La., Wednesday at 5 p.m. ET (ESPN2). McNeese is a 2.5-point betting favorite.
We're backing the team with a better cover rate against the spread than any other in the nation, while looking to fade Javohn Garcia against Stephen F. Austin's elite 3-point defense.
🏀 McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin picks & odds: Southland Championship (March 11)
See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Pick | Best odds | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin +2.5 | -110 via bet365 | 1.1u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Under 135 | -110 via bet365 | 1.1u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Javohn Garcia Under 0.5 threes made | +172 via bet365 | 1u -> 1.7.2u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 3.2 units | Max profit: 3.72 units
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💰 McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin prediction & best bet
Stephen F. Austin +2.5 (-110)
Playing on a road campus as the higher seed, Stephen F. Austin is no stranger to being underestimated. It covered in a two-point loss as a 10-point underdog at McNeese in January.
SFA also handled McNeese by seven as a 2.5-point underdog in February. The Lumberjacks have produced the best record against the spread in the nation (22-8). McNeese is 12-16-1 ATS.
The metrics love McNeese, and the Cowboys might punch their ticket on Wednesday. But after they played triple-overtime late on Tuesday night, I see this being a close finish that favors the underdog when it comes to the spread.
Score prediction: McNeese 64 - Stephen F. Austin 63
🏀 More tournament action
Our college basketball best bets dives into the other tournament action as March Madness begins to heat up.
🔥 Best McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin player prop bet
Javohn Garcia Under 0.5 threes made (+172)
McNeese guard Javohn Garcia ranks third on the team in 3-point percentage (35.1%), but he isn't necessarily a volume shooter. He's knocked down 33 triples all season.
After being out of the lineup for four games, Garcia returned in Tuesday's triple-overtime win over Texas Rio Grande Valley, but he didn't hit either of his 3-point attempts. It was the 10th game this season out of 28 (35.7%) in which Garcia went scoreless from behind the arc. It was also the ninth time out of his most recent 16 games (56.2%).
With an implied probability of 36.76% to go Under 0.5 made threes based on bet365's odds of +172, we like Garcia to continue his second-half trend of failing to convert 3-pointers against one of the best 3-point defenses in the country. Stephen F. Austin ranks ninth in opposing 3-point percentage (29.8%) and allows just 5.9 made threes per game (12th in nation).
🚀 McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin same-game parlay
Javohn Garcia could send this SGP to the trash within the first possession of the game, but the value in betting his Under on made threes was tantalizing given recent trends. It also correlates to a low-scoring affair in which Stephen F. Austin keeps it close, so we like the value of this correlated parlay at 7/1 odds.
💵 Oregon State vs. Gonzaga SGP picks
- Stephen F. Austin +2.5 (-110)
- Under 135 (-110)
- Javohn Garcia Under 0.5 made threes (+172)
Best odds: +700 via bet365 (1u -> 7.00u)
💡 How I'm betting McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin
Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.
Stephen F. Austin has performed as one of the most effective teams in the country against the spread, so I like the Lumberjacks' value as an underdog. We're not getting carried away with unit sizes on these wagers, though, because SFA has been less consistent over its most recent games.
A letdown is always possible, particularly with the unique nature of this game taking place on McNeese's campus despite SFA being the higher seed. Therefore, each wager on this game will remain at one unit.
📊 Live McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin odds: Southland Championship
McNeese is a 2.5-point favorite as the lower-seeded team, potentially due to the tournament taking place on its home campus in Lake Charles, La. Since this line opened at McNeese -1.5 and has moved further toward the Cowboys, I don't expect it to flip back toward the Lumberjacks.
📈 McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin betting trends
| McNeese | Statistic | Stephen F. Austin |
|---|---|---|
| 28-5 | W-L record | 29-4 |
| 12-16-1 | ATS record | 22-8 |
| 13-16 | O/U record | 12-18 |
| 5-0 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
📺 How to watch McNeese vs. Stephen F. Austin: Southland Championship
- Date: Wednesday, March 10
- Tipoff: 5 p.m. ET
- Location: Townsley Law Arena (Lake Charles, La.)
- TV: ESPN2
- Streaming: ESPN+
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