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We're backing Jaxson Robinson in our Kentucky vs. Ole Miss prediction.
Pictured: Kentucky's Jaxson Robinson dribbles against Tennessee. Photo by Randy Sartin via Imagn Images.

Coming off an upset loss to its former head coach, Kentucky (15-6) will look to rebound in SEC play when it takes on Ole Miss (16-6) tonight at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN) from The Sandy and John Black Pavilion in Oxford, Miss.

With the Wildcats as 4.5-point underdogs at the best sports betting sites, our Kentucky vs. Ole Miss prediction and odds think Mark Pope's team can lean on its offense to keep this one close on the road.

Kentucky vs. Ole Miss predictions today

College basketball picks based on the odds from our best March Madness betting sites.

  • Against the spread pick: Kentucky +4.5 (-105 via BetMGM) vs. Ole Miss ⭐⭐⭐
  • My best pick: Jaxson Robinson Over 14.5 points (-125 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Kentucky vs. Ole Miss ATS prediction

Kentucky to cover the spread: +4.5 ⭐⭐⭐

Kentucky head coach Mark Pope has had a somewhat sporadic first season in Lexington, but one thing is clear: This offense is among the best in the country and is the reason the Wildcats remain March Madness odds contenders. Even during this tough stretch, the offense carried Kentucky to a road win over Tennessee and its suffocating defense.

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That's why I see the Wildcats coming to play against Ole Miss, and this offense is the difference. Led by Jaxson Robinson and Otega Oweh, the Wildcats are third in the country in PPG (87.2) and in adjusted offensive efficiency, per KenPom. The Rebels, meanwhile, are just ninth in SEC play in PPG (73.2), have lost four straight games to ranked opponents, and have failed to cover in four straight.

Defense has been the issue for Kentucky, but this Ole Miss offense has been ugly against conference opponents, hitting 43.3% from the field and ranking 10th in the conference in twos per game (17.3). It's been a different story for the Wildcats against SEC teams, with it second in the conference in field goal percentage (49%) and first in 3-point percentage (41.4%).

So, with both of these teams struggling recently, I feel more comfortable backing the program with an explosive offense that's plus points. A $10 bet pays a $9.52 profit if the Wildcats cover.

Best odds: -105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 51.22%

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Best Kentucky vs. Ole Miss pick

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Jaxson Robinson Over 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Due to Cooper Flagg's dominance, only seven players have Wooden Award odds of +12500 or shorter, and Robinson is one of them. The three-time transfer is putting together one of the best seasons in the conference with his third different SEC team.

He's seventh in the conference in threes per game (2.6) and that should come in handy against an Ole Miss defense that's ninth in the SEC in threes allowed (7.3). Robinson has also taken his game up a notch in SEC play, hitting 3.6 threes against conference opponents and averaging 15.9 PPG. 

The former BYU star has gone Over 14.5 points in four of his last six games, which includes three 20-plus-point performance, while averaging 18 PPG over that stretch. With another big outing, Robinson will turn a $10 bet into an $8 profit. 

Best odds: -125 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 55.56%

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Jaxson Robinson player prop odds

Here are the best odds on Jaxson Robinson's player props for Tuesday.

Live Kentucky vs. Ole Miss odds

See all of this week's college basketball odds and NCAAB scores.

Kentucky vs. Ole Miss opening odds

  • Spread: Kentucky +3 (-105) | Ole Miss -3 (-115)
  • Over/Under: Over 157 (-110) | Under 157 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Kentucky +140 | Ole Miss -165

Kentucky vs. Ole Miss game info

  • When: Tuesday, Feb. 4
  • Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion (Oxford, Miss.)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Favorite: Ole Miss -4.5 (-110 via Caesars)

College basketball betting odds pages

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