🏀 Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa Prediction Today: Women's March Madness First Round Odds & Picks
No. 2 Iowa hosts No. 15 Fairleigh Dickinson today in the Women's March Madness first round, with the Hawkeyes installed as 32.5-point favorites ahead of a 4 p.m. ET tip at Carver-Hawkeye Arena on ESPN. The spread has ballooned from its 21.5 opener, and the total has climbed from 123.5 to 129.5.
My best Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa prediction zeroes in on Iowa's team total rather than the spread, which has moved too far to offer value. Iowa has scored at least 87 points in each of its last five first-round NCAA Tournament games, and my Women's March Madness predictions expect that trend to continue against an overmatched Knights squad.
🏀 Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa picks & odds: Women's March Madness Round 1
See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Pick | Best odds | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa Over 79.5 points | -120 via DraftKings | 1u -> 0.83u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 128.5 points | -105 via DraftKings | 0.5u -> 0.42u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: 1.25 units
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💵 Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa odds movement
Latest Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa odds and betting splits via BetMGM.
| Market | Fairleigh Dickinson | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| ↔️ Spread | +32.5 (-110) | -32.5 (-110) |
| ↕️ Total (O/U) | O 129.5 (-110) | U 129.5 (-110) |
The spread has continued its massive climb from 21.5 to 32.5, an 11-point swing since the opener. The total has also risen from 123.5 to 129.5, consistent with the expectation that Iowa will pour it on offensively.
🏆 Who will win Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa?
Come on. Is that even a question? Iowa will win its Round 1 game against Fairleigh Dickinson by a lot. The only question is by how much, and to that, I'm predicting a 33-point win.
Score prediction: Iowa 83, Fairleigh Dickinson 50
💰 Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa prediction & best bet
Iowa Over 79.5 points (-120)
Had I written this preview on Thursday, I would have recommended Iowa's spread as a five-star play. Instead, the value in backing the favorites is now gone, as the line has moved from 20.5 to 31.5 at most shops.
As a way to make a valuable wager while also betting on a big Iowa win, I prefer its team total instead. This line is listed at 79.5 at DraftKings, whereas bet365 offers the total at 81.5.
Iowa has scored at least 87 points in each of its previous five first-round matchups in the NCAA Tournaments. The Hawkeyes have averaged 92.6 points per game in those matchups. They like to flex their muscles in Round 1.
🚀 Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa same-game parlay
I'm betting on a strong offensive day from Iowa, which would suggest some value on the Over at its current value of 128.5 via DraftKings. The same total is as high as 129.5 at Caesars. The Hawkeyes' team total is extremely correlated to the full-game line, so this parlay only comes out to +130.
💵 Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa SGP picks
- Iowa Over 79.5 points
- Over 128.5
Best odds: +130 via DraftKings (0.25u -> 0.33u)
💵 My betting record for college basketball
All college basketball picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 13.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-25 | +1.01 units ✅ | 3.3% ✅ |
| Game picks | 8-5 | +3.44 units ✅ | 29.3% ✅ |
| Player props | 6-6 | -2.15 units ❌ | -23.7% ❌ |
| Parlays | 1-8 | -0.31 units ❌ | -22.1% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa: Women's March Madness
Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions for March Madness.
I've had a good start to the women's tournament after sweeping the First Four games. This matchup, however, is expected to be a blowout and that makes finding value much more difficult.
If there wasn't so much line movement, I would have kept it simple and bet on a big Iowa win. Instead, the better play is now on Iowa's team total. If the team total climbs much further, I'd either play the full-game line or pass entirely on this contest.
📊 Live Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa odds: Women's March Madness Round 1
The spread has moved dramatically since the open, jumping from 21.5 all the way to 32.5 at BetMGM - an 11-point swing that suggests the books significantly undervalued Iowa at the outset. The total has followed suit, climbing from 123.5 to 129.5. Both numbers have moved steadily in one direction with no sign of a correction.
📺 How to watch Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Iowa: Women's March Madness Round 1
- Date: Saturday, March 21
- Tipoff: 4 p.m. ET
- Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena (Iowa City, Iowa)
- TV: ESPN
- Streaming: ESPN App
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