Duke vs. North Carolina Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Basketball Picks Today (Feb. 7)
No. 4 Duke (21-1) takes a 10-game win streak into a rivalry matchup with No. 14 North Carolina (18-4), as I make my Duke vs. North Carolina prediction before tonight's tipoff from Dean E. Smith Center at 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN).
The Blue Devils are a 5.5-point road betting favorite, but this rivalry matchup never seems to go as planned.
🏀 Duke vs. North Carolina predictions
See our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds.
| Prediction | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| North Carolina +5.5 | -110 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Under 152.5 | -110 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐ |
| Caleb Wilson Over 17.5 points | -125 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Duke vs. North Carolina best bet: North Carolina +5.5 (-110)
Check out all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.
It’s never easy to face your biggest rival on the road. Duke understands that better than most, going 4-5 across its last nine visits to North Carolina.
I wouldn’t bank on an outright upset, but the Tar Heels can put pressure on. North Carolina is on a four-game win streak, a stretch that includes a road win over Virginia. Duke hasn’t played a competitive game in weeks.
UNC ranks fifth in 2-point defense and third in 2-point attempt distance. If it can take away the easy points, the Duke will have to work harder than it has in weeks.
Score prediction: Duke 77, North Carolina 73
🔥 Best Duke vs. North Carolina player prop: Caleb Wilson, North Carolina Over 17.5 points (-125)
North Carolina freshman Caleb Wilson is projected to be one of the top picks in the 2026 NBA Draft. The last time he faced another high pick, Wilson scored 24 points against Darryn Peterson and the Kansas Jayhawks. He told CarolinaBlitz that it was personal for him.
Tonight offers up another chance to face one of the top picks in Duke big man Cameron Boozer. I wouldn’t be surprised if Wilson sees this as another opportunity to make a statement, especially since he’s scored 20-plus points in four straight contests.
📊 Live Duke vs. North Carolina odds
📈 Duke vs. North Carolina betting trends
| Duke | Statistic | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| 21-1 | W-L record | 18-4 |
| 13-9 | ATS record | 12-10 |
| 7-15 | O/U record | 11-11 |
| 5-0 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
📺 How to watch Duke vs. North Carolina
- Date: Saturday, Feb. 7
- Tipoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Dean E. Smith Center (Chapel Hill, N.C.)
- TV: ESPN
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