College Basketball Best Bets & Player Props Today: Saturday's Game Picks and Prop Bets (Dec. 6)

I have scoured the Saturday slate to comprise my college basketball best bets and player props today.

The weekend slate begins with five ranked vs. ranked matchups, several of which are featured in today’s column. I am calling for a Power Conference team to end a three-game losing streak on its home court, along with my top player prop at plus-money odds that backs an ACC star who few teams have had an answer for thus far.

🏀 College basketball best bets & player props: Dec. 6

💰 College basketball expert picks today

See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds.

🟣 Seton Hall vs. Kansas State prediction: Kansas State -3.5 (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

I kick off my college basketball expert picks today with my most confident five-star play, buying low on a Kansas State team amid a three-game losing streak and coming off a 16-point home loss to Bowling Green.

Entering their last win four games ago against Mississippi State, the Wildcats were generating high-quality looks at the rim and from the 3-point line, ranking in the 95th percentile in high-quality shot rate, per Synergy. That is a big reason Kansas State shot 46.7% or better from 3-point range in four of its five wins.

The Wildcats still rank in the top 10 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage (41%). I expect a huge bounce-back against a Seton Hall squad playing in its first road game while ranking 245th in 3-point percentage allowed. And while the Pirates own a nice neutral-court win over NC State, that win doesn’t look as strong with the Wolfpack having lost three of four.  

FanDuel’s -120 price at 54.55% implied odds is worth paying up for, as the rest of the top sports betting sites are at -4. If Kansas State covers, my $10 winning wager would net $8.33 in profits.

⬆️ Auburn vs. Arizona prediction: Over 160.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Despite the recent data from these teams’ recent games against high-quality competition suggesting the Under is the best play, I dug deeper to back the Over with three stars of confidence.

Since a 93-87 season-opening win against Florida, Arizona has played two games against top 25 teams, holding UCLA and UConn to an average of 66 points. Meanwhile, Auburn is coming off an 83-73 win at home against NC State that stayed 8.5 points below the projected total.

Because of these high-profile results, the total has been inflated. But in Arizona’s case, the low-scoring game against UCLA can be chalked up to familiarity as old Pac-12 foes. And UConn was without center Tarris Reed in its game, which allowed the Wildcats to clog the paint and be more aggressive and physical on UConn’s off-ball screens and cuts in their drop coverage.

This is still an Auburn team that is one of two to score 72-plus points in regulation against Houston, and also allowed 102 points in a loss in a similar top-5 game when facing Michigan.

The Over is 3-1 when Arizona has four or more days off this season (it last played a week ago), so I am comfortable paying up slightly for FanDuel’s -115 price and 53.49% implied probability, especially with the high end of the market offering totals of 161.5.

If the Over cashes, my $10 winning wager would net $8.70 in profits.

⛹️ College basketball player props today

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🔥 Ryan Conwell, SF, Louisville: Conwell to make 4 or more 3-pointers (+155) ⭐⭐

Ryan Conwell ranks in the top 200 of all D-I players in KenPom’s offensive rating and the top 170 of the percentage of his team’s shots taken.

Conwell has been deadly from beyond the arc, connecting on 41.9% of his 3-point attempts.

He is not lacking for volume, as he has jacked up double-digit 3-point attempts six times this season, including a combined 27 attempts in his last two games. As a result of that volume, Conwell has made four-plus 3-pointers five times this season, and that makes opting for the +155 odds more worth it than backing the Over of 2.5 threes made at -160 odds at bet365.

If Conwell makes at least four 3-pointers, my $10 winning wager would net $15.50 in profits.

⬆️ Cooper Koch, PF, Iowa: Over 1.5 assists (+115) ⭐⭐⭐

After finishing with zero assists in four consecutive games (following a season-high three-assist day in the season opener), Iowa forward Cooper Koch had two assists in two of the previous three games.

The Hawkeyes rank 18th in the country, assisting on 63.8% of their made field goals, and his ceiling for assists is sky-high when facing a Maryland defense that allows assists at the 344th-highest rate in the country (62.6% of opponents’ field goals are assisted).

The +115 odds at bet365 would return $11.50 in profits on a winning $10 wager.

💡 College basketball expert picks today

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