College Basketball Predictions & Best Bets Today: ATS Picks and Prop Bets (Thursday, Feb. 12)

With a barren slate relative to the rest of the week, my college basketball predictions and best bets today are backing a pair of mid-major programs playing in nationally televised games at home.

With Memphis vs. North Texas taking the title of best game on Thursday, my favorite college basketball player props are locking in on two of the best players taking the court.

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Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Green Bay prediction: Green Bay -1.5 (-105 via FanDuel)

The first season with Doug Gottlieb leading Green Bay went about how you'd expect, with the program finishing 4-28. But the Phoenix have been one of the most improved mid-majors in the country this season at 14-12, with the best ATS record in the Horizon League (15-9).

The program's offense is No. 2 in the Horizon in adjusted efficiency, thanks in large part to guard CJ O'Hara (16.1 PPG in conference play). Purdue Fort Wayne's defense is No. 264 in the country in adjusted efficiency.

The last time Green Bay played the Mastodons, it won by 18 on the road.

Oregon State vs. San Francisco prediction: San Francisco -8.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

Though it's been a down year by San Francisco's standards in a loaded West Coast Conference, the Dons still have a quality team. Chris Gerlufsen's program is ranked top 100 in adjusted offensive efficiency and allows just 71.8 PPG.

The Dons have a dynamic backcourt duo of Ryan Beasley and Tyrone Riley, complemented by a pair of hulking forwards, David Fuchs and Junjie Wang. Oregon State's defense is ranked outside the top 200, and its offense is putting up just 67.2 PPG in WCC play.

The last time these two played, Wang hadn't emerged as an X-factor for the Dons.

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Memphis vs. North Texas prediction: Aaron Bradshaw Over 10.5 points (-105 via FanDuel) 

Two of the best defenses at the mid-major level meet tonight on ESPN when North Texas hosts Memphis, but the rise of Aaron Bradshaw should create plenty of problems for the Mean Green. Bradshaw has finally found his rhythm, averaging 12.6 PPG since the start of January.

The former five-star recruit has been a terror in the paint, creating mismatches with his 7-foot-1 frame. And for as good as North Texas is defensively, it doesn't have the length to handle Bradshaw.

The Mean Green are allowing conference foes to shoot 51.2% inside the arc, fifth-highest in the American.

Memphis vs. North Texas prediction: Je'Shawn Stevenson Under 16.5 points (-125 via FanDuel) 

North Texas has one of the worst offenses in the country, ranking No. 298 in adjusted efficiency and No. 314 in adjusted tempo. That slow pace and inefficient play, coupled with Memphis having the No. 1 defense in adjusted efficiency in the American, is going to slow Stevenson.

The Mean Green's leading scorer is hitting just 37.8% from the floor and takes on a Tigers' defense allowing the lowest field-goal percentage in the conference (40.2%).

Stevenson's poor shooting against a team he won't get many great looks against should lead to him going Under 16.5 for a second straight game.

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