🏀 Arkansas vs. Missouri Prediction & Odds: College Basketball Picks Today (March 7)

Missouri should be in the NCAA Tournament, but the Tigers could do a lot to solidify their case with a win over No. 20 Arkansas.

My best Arkansas vs. Missouri prediction for today's noon ET (ESPN) game at Mizzou Arena in Columbia, Mo., focuses on the offensive strengths of both of these teams. The first meeting between the two saw 180 points, and oddsmakers are once again expecting a high-scoring affair with the total set at 160.5. Arkansas is favored by 0.5, as I make a final score prediction and player prop bet for Missouri's Jayden Stone.

🏀 Arkansas vs. Missouri picks & odds today: March 7

See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 5.0 units | Max profit: 4.6 units

💰 Arkansas vs. Missouri prediction & best bet

Over 160.5 (-110)

Arkansas is the second-highest-scoring team in the nation, averaging 90.3 points per game. At least one team has scored 90 or more points in five consecutive Arkansas games, with each of those contests reaching 180.

The first time these teams met, Arkansas won 94-86, as Missouri made only 33% of their 3-pointers. However, the Tigers have knocked down 37.1% of their 3-pointers at home, so expect this contest to be even higher scoring than the first.

FanDuel is offering Over 160.5 for -110. This is a must-play, and I'd consider backing an alt-line as high as 169.5.

Score prediction: Missouri 96, Arkansas 92

🔥 Best Arkansas vs. Missouri player prop bet

Jayden Stone Over 12.5 points (+100)

Stone has struggled of late, scoring 10 or fewer points in four consecutive contests. But he's scored at least 16 in two of his last three home games, and Stone is averaging 13.7 points per game this season. Additionally, Stone is second on the team in 3-pointers made, with 44. He's made at least two in 12 of his last 17 games. 

Missouri is averaging 12.5 more points per game at home. They already managed to score 86 on the road at Arkansas in a fast-paced game, and I expect this contest to have the same tempo. That will lead to a lot of opportunities for Stone, who is averaging 30.3 minutes per contest, second-most on the team.

FanDuel is offering Over 12.5 for +100. I wouldn't play this total any higher due to Stone's recent struggles, so get in before the number increases or the price gets worse.

🚀 Arkansas vs. Missouri same-game parlay

Every time Arkansas steps on the court, at least one team is liable to score 100 points, so the Over is one of the easiest plays of the day. Missouri may have lost the first meeting, but the Tigers are much better offensively at home, which will play a huge role against a porous defense. And for Stone, what better team to break out of a funk against?

💡 How I'm betting Arkansas vs. Missouri

Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.

This Over is one of my favorite plays of the day, which is why I'm making this a three-unit wager. While I'm confident in Missouri at home, especially after how well they played at Arkansas, the Razorbacks are so good offensively that it's hard to have enough faith in Missouri to take a huge risk on them. That said, I'm willing to take a bit of a chance, as they have a lot more to play for in this game, with Arkansas all but guaranteed a spot in the tournament.

📊 Live Arkansas vs. Missouri odds

The spread and the total haven't shifted at all from where they opened. However, considering the first meeting between these two featured 19.5 more points than what the current total is set at, I expect the public to hammer this Over. Therefore, I'd expect this to climb as high as 164.5, while Missouri should ultimately take over as the favorites against a team that has lost back-to-back road games.

📈 Arkansas vs. Missouri betting trends

📺 How to watch Arkansas vs. Missouri

• Date: Saturday, March 7
• Tipoff: Noon ET
• Location: Mizzou Arena (Columbia, Mo.)
• TV: ESPN