Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds, Picks, Predictions College Basketball: Are the Tide Ready for a Test?
SEC play tips off Wednesday as the Alabama Crimson Tide seek to assert some early superiority in the conference pecking order with a win over the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Read on for our best Alabama-Mississippi State college basketball pick based on the best NCAAB odds.
Alabama (10-2) ranks inside the AP Top 10 following a non-conference slate that featured quality wins over No. 3 Houston and preseason No. 1 North Carolina.
The Tide will begin conference play Wednesday night with a tough road test against a ranked opponent as No. 21 Mississippi State (11-1) looks to establish a signature win.
Here is our best Alabama vs. Mississippi State college basketball pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and Caesars Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Game Info
Date: Wednesday, Dec. 28, 9 p.m. ET
TV: SECN
Location: Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds Analysis
Alabama opened as a two-point road favorite and has moved to between -1 and -1.5 across our affiliated sportsbooks. By Wednesday morning, 44% of the money wagered had come in on the Crimson Tide.
In consideration of Mississippi State’s elite scoring defense, the total opened at a measured 137 points. Bettors are apparently buying into the potent Alabama offense and have pushed the number up to between 140.5 and 141 points.
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Pick
Alabama -1 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Though it’s hard to win on the road in college basketball, Alabama has done it already this season against a Houston team that was ranked No. 1 in the nation at the time. Meanwhile, Mississippi State hasn’t faced any competition during its non-conference schedule that compares to the challenge that KenPom’s No. 12-ranked team will present.
The Bulldogs have a shiny 11-1 record, but KenPom rates their schedule to this point as only the 324th-toughest in Division 1. Mississippi State has collected two wins against top 50 KenPom teams, Utah (No. 49) and Marquette (No. 25), but isn’t playing at its best heading into Wednesday. MSU most recently suffered a loss to Drake (No. 90) and in the game before that, held off Nicholls State (No. 221) by just two points.
Mississippi State has one of the best scoring defenses in the nation at 52.6 points per game, but the Bulldogs haven’t faced an offense with the combination of efficiency and tempo that the Crimson Tide possesses. Bama ranks 20th in adjusted offensive efficiency and has averaged 83.7 points per game.
Alabama has only scored below 70 points twice on the season, which bodes well against a Mississippi State team that ranks outside the top 200 in Division 1 scoring, averaging at just 68.3 points per game. Alabama has one of the most impressive road wins in college basketball to its name and boasts the strongest defensive efficiency ranking (19th in Division 1) on Mississippi State’s schedule to date. This is a team slated for a road win to open up conference play.
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Best Odds
DraftKings and Caesars: Alabama -1 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| Alabama -1 | Alabama -1.5 | Alabama -1.5 | Alabama -1 | Alabama -1.5 |
| -110 | -105 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
DraftKings and Caesars both offer the most favorable line for Bama bettors at -1 with standard -110 odds. Though you get a lesser number at FanDuel and BetMGM, those books at least provide improved -105 odds to help compensate for the less favorable line.
PointsBet is a spot to avoid for this wager given the -110 odds are equal to that of DraftKings and Caesars but at the less optimal -1.5 line. If you want to simply bet the moneyline given the meager point spread, FanDuel is the best spot to do it as they offer -115 odds on Alabama ML.
Alabama-Mississippi State pick made 12/28/2022 at 2 p.m. ET.
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