Timberwolves vs. Rockets Player Props & Best Bets Tonight: NBA Prop Picks (Jan. 16)
Last Updated: January 16, 2026 5:58 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
My Timberwolves vs. Rockets player props tonight feature Kevin Durant, who should bounce back after a disappointing night against the Thunder on Thursday.
My NBA best bets also include Julius Randle and Alperen Sengun. The Rockets enter as a 4.5-point betting favorite over the Timberwolves, with tipoff from Toyota Center in Houston slated for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN).
🏀 Timberwolves vs. Rockets player props tonight: 9:30 p.m. ET
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| Player | Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant, F, Rockets | Over 25.5 points | -105 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Julius Randle, F, Timberwolves | Over 23.5 points | -118 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Alperen Sengun, C, Rockets | Over 8.5 rebounds | -122 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Best Timberwolves vs. Rockets prop bet: Kevin Durant Over 25.5 points (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Check out all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Durant scores pretty easily against the Timberwolves. He cashed this prop in two of the three games he faced them last season, averaging 27.3 points per game in that span.
The one time Durant didn’t cash this prop against the Timberwolves last season was when he scored 23 points in Minneapolis. When Durant was at home against Minnesota, he scored 26 and 33 points, shooting 54.8% from the field and 41.2% from the 3-point line. Expect Durant to return to form after scoring just 19 points against the Thunder on Thursday.
🔥 More Timberwolves vs. Rockets prop picks
Julius Randle Over 23.5 points (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Randle is the No. 1 option for the Timberwolves when Anthony Edwards sits - as he will tonight - and has cashed this prop in three of his last four games without Edwards.
Over a larger sample, Randle has scored 24 or more points in six of his eight games this season without the Timberwolves’ star guard. Randle scored 29 points on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday, and his performance tonight should look similar as he dominates the ball once again.
Alperen Sengun Over 8.5 rebounds (-122) ⭐⭐⭐
Sengun scored just 14 against the Thunder on Thursday, but he was active on the boards, grabbing 13 rebounds. That’s a good sign for betting the Over on his rebounds, as he has had success on the glass against the Timberwolves.
Sengun cashed this prop all three times he faced Minnesota last season - and it wasn’t close. He recorded 10, 12, and 13 rebounds in those three meetings and has cashed this prop in four straight matchups with Minnesota dating back to the 2023-24 season.
Our Shane Thurston features more bets worth tailing in his NBA player props tonight.
🚀 Timberwolves vs. Rockets SGP
💵 Timberwolves vs. Rockets same-game parlay
- Kevin Durant Over 25.5 points (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Julius Randle Over 23.5 points (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Alperen Sengun Over 8.5 rebounds (-122) ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +526 via FanDuel ($10 to win $52.60)
📈 Timberwolves vs. Rockets betting trends
| Timberwolves | Statistic | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| 27-14 | W-L record | 23-15 |
| 18-23 | ATS record | 18-20 |
| 22-19 | O/U record | 20-18 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 1-4 |
🚑 Timberwolves vs. Rockets injuries
🎟️ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| # | Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Murphy III | Pelicans | Over 28.5 points + rebounds | -135 |
| 2 | Ayo Dosunmu | Bulls | Over 20.5 points + rebounds + assists | -110 |
| 3 | Michael Porter Jr. | Nets | Over 25.5 points | -125 |
| 4 | Naz Reid | Timberwolves | Under 5.5 rebounds | -150 |
| 5 | Zion Williamson | Pelicans | Over 30.5 points + rebounds | -115 |
📺 How to watch Timberwolves vs. Rockets
- Date: Friday, Jan. 16
- Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Toyota Center (Houston)
- TV: ESPN
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