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Best NBA Parlays Today: Picks, Predictions for Tuesday's Games

Jon Metler

Last Updated: March 7, 2023 9:12 PM EST • 3 min 17 sec read.

Stephen Curry of the Golden State Warriors reacts as we look at our top Warriors vs. Kings prediction for Game 2
Stephen Curry of the Golden State Warriors reacts during their game against the Sacramento Kings at Chase Center. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images via AFP.

Will Anthony Davis be able to continue his strong play from Sunday and keep the Los Angeles Lakers' playoff chances alive? Jon Metler shares three of his favorite NBA same-game parlays for Tuesday's games using the latest NBA odds. 

Curry hit a 3-pointer from way downtown against the Thunder in 2016, which received a double bang from Mike Breen, and Curry was seen reenacting the shot during practice on Monday. You can be certain Curry will be full of confidence when he plays in the Paycom Center again on Tuesday.

The real question is, do we see value on Curry's points prop? 

Here are our NBA SGP picks for Tuesday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).

Tuesday's NBA SGP picks

GamePropsCombined Odds
76ers-TimberwolvesConley Over 5.5 assists, Gobert Over 11.5 rebounds+263
Warriors-ThunderCurry Over 27.5 points, Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5.5 rebounds+214
Grizzles-LakersDavis 16+ rebounds, Bane Under 4.5 assists+336

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Grizzles vs. Lakers odds

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NBA SGP predictions: 76ers vs. Timberwolves

Mike Conley Over 5.5 assists vs. 76ers (-115)

Tyrese Haliburton is among the best guards in the NBA when it comes to creating offense for other players, but a 76ers defense fresh off allowing Haliburton to drop 16 dimes on Monday forces you to pay closer attention to Conley. This is an excellent price on the Over 5.5, as DraftKings has the Over juiced to -130 and Caesars is at -132. Considering Conley is projected to have 6.2 assists against the Timberwolves, this prop can be priced at -135, which is in line with what DraftKings and Caesars are offering.

Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 rebounds vs. 76ers (+100)

Gobert is coming off back-to-back games in which he grabbed 14 rebounds, and he should have an excellent opportunity on Tuesday. After a fast-paced game on Monday against the Pacers, the 76ers now have to travel to a much colder climate on a back-to-back. With tired shooting legs, Gobert may have more rebounding opportunities, and I have Gobert priced at -125 to grab more than 11.5 rebounds. 

NBA SGP predictions: Warriors vs. Thunder

Stephen Curry Over 27.5 points vs. Thunder (-108)

Curry returned from injury against the Lakers on Sunday and looked ready to go right away, playing 32 minutes and scoring 27 points. As easy as it is to get behind a Curry Over on his points prop, we do have only the tiniest of edges here. Curry can be priced at -115 to go Over 27.5 points based on a projection of 28.6 points. A number of sportsbooks are fluctuating between Over 26.5 (-120) and Over 27.5 (-108) as seen on FanDuel. You would be better off making this same parlay at whichever sportsbook is trading Curry at Over 26.5 (-120) when you place your wager. 

Shai Gilgeous Alexander Under 5.5 rebounds vs. Warriors (-144)

A heavily juiced Under on Gilgeous-Alexander - thrilling. But I would like to highlight something I'm seeing in the market on this prop. In addition to being projected to grab only 4.9 rebounds, we've seen some interesting movement at Caesars on this prop. The rebounding prop for Gilgeous-Alexander opened at Under 5.5 (-119) and was steamed all the way to Under 5.5 (-164) at Caesars. This is a significant move and there hasn't been much support for the buyback on the Over, which leads me to believe that the projection is accurate and that -180 is a more appropriate price point. 

NBA SGP predictions: Grizzles vs. Lakers

Anthony Davis 16+ rebounds vs. Grizzles (+165)

For someone who has grabbed eight and five rebounds in his last two games, 13.5 is a massive total. The crazy part is that I'm actually going to play an alternate total Over on Davis' rebounds. With Davis projected to pull down 14.5 rebounds against the Grizzles, and with the Over 13.5 juiced to -136, this creates a negative expected value, since we can price the Over 13.5 at -125. Based on that same projection, we can create value by using the 16-plus rebound market instead, since our price would be +155 and FanDuel is trading this prop at +165.

Desmond Bane Under 4.5 assists vs. Lakers (-118)

I was impressed by Bane's ability to create offense for other players against the Clippers on Sunday, especially in the absence of Ja Morant, but I like the price we're getting on the Under 4.5 way too much. Bane generally trades with a total of 3.5 assists, and even without Morant in the lineup, I don't believe Bane is a 4.5-assist type of player. This is especially true given that Tyus Jones is filling in for Morant. For Bane, I have the Under 4.5 assists priced at -145. 

NBA player prop picks made 03/07/2023 at 10:00 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Jon Metler
Jon Metler is a Sports Betting Analyst at SportsbookReview.com. Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, he immediately turned his attention to the NBA and College Basketball when he entered the sports betting space. Sports betting has been a part of his life for over 13 years, and he specializes in futures markets and player props, particularly in the NBA. In pursuit of value, he keeps a close eye on movements in the betting markets. He believes strongly in analytics and staying ahead of the curve; let the numbers do the talking. A graduate of the University of Windsor with a degree in Sports Studies, Jon enjoys spending time with his dogs when he isn't watching basketball.