Chile vs. Argentina Odds, Picks & Predictions: Messi Mania Heads to MetLife

Lionel Messi aims to work his magic against Chile while keeping Argentina atop Group A.
Argentina forward Lionel Messi warms up before the match against Canada at Mercedez-Benz Stadium as we look at our Chile vs. Argentina prediction.
Argentina forward Lionel Messi warms up before the match against Canada at Mercedez-Benz Stadium. Photo by Dale Zanine/USA TODAY Sports.

Argentina kicked off the defense of their Copa America title with a 2-0 win against Canada, and up next is a Chile side that’s yet to score at this tournament, and we're breaking down the matchup in our Chile vs. Argentina predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.

A win for Argentina at MetLife Stadium over Chile on Tuesday will guarantee their place in the quarterfinals. Meanwhile, Chile began their campaign with a 0-0 draw at AT&T Stadium against Peru. They're winless in the team's last four games in all competitions.

Chile haven’t beaten Argentina since 2016. La Albiceleste are unbeaten in five matches against La Roja, outscoring their opponents 7-4 during that run.

Let's dive in on the matchup in our Chile vs. Argentina predictions.

Chile vs. Argentina predictions for Tuesday

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Chile vs. Argentina score prediction

Argentina 2 vs. Chile 0

These two nations have faced each other 29 times during Copa America, and Chile has never beaten Argentina in a 90-minute match. The two occasions that La Roja beat La Albiceleste at the tournament came courtesy of penalty shootouts. Argentina has won more Copa America games (18) than any other country since 2011.

Chile have failed to score in five of their last 10 matches in all competitions and have won just three, leaking an average of a goal every game. The Argentines have won nine and lost one during that span while keeping seven clean sheets. The world champs have also been averaging two goals per game during that run. The stronger squad will triumph in this encounter.

BetMGM's odds represent a 16% probability at +525. A $10 bet pays a profit of $52.50 if it hits.

Best odds: +525 via BetMGM

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Chile vs. Argentina anytime goalscorer prediction

Julian Alvarez, Argentina

The Manchester City forward was on the scoresheet during Thursday’s opener against Canada. Only Lionel Messi registered more shots, shots on target, and touches inside the box than Julian Alvarez. The latter's shots-on-target total was also double what the entire Chile team managed in its stalemate with Peru.

Alvarez's return in the UEFA Champions League during 2024 led to an impressive five goals in seven appearances. He also scored double-digit goals for City en route to their Premier League title.

And let’s not forget, the GOAT is supporting him in attack. With his assist during the win against Canada, Messi reached 17 during his career in the competition. Since his first in 2011, he's tallied more than three times as many assists as any other player in the tournament.

He'll take defenders with him and create space for Alvarez to find the net. FanDuel’s +190 odds imply a 34.5% probability, and a $10 wager pays a profit of $19 if Alvarez scores.

Best odds: +190 via FanDuel

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Chile vs. Argentina best bet

Argentina wins and Under 2.5 goals

Argentina have scored in each of their last nine games at the Copa America tournament, potting 16 goals during that streak. They're also unbeaten throughout that run.

With Lionel Messi leading the line, La Albiceleste remain a force. He turned 37 on Monday, but his talent is still as impressive as his Barcelona days. The Inter Miami star has logged 50 direct goal involvements in official competitions for club and country on U.S. soil (30 goals and 20 assists).

Chile have failed to score in their last three Copa America games, a run of 378 minutes without a goal. They’re also winless in four contests. La Roja are the oldest squad in the tournament and could struggle if they’re forced to chase the ball in New Jersey. Argentina completed 604 passes during their first game of Copa America 2024, more than any side across the opening weekend. They’re capable of keeping the opposition at bay while seizing opportunities.

The odds imply a 32.1% probability, and a $10 bet will pay a profit of $21.24 if it hits.

Best odds: +212 via FanDuel

Chile vs. Argentina game info

  • When: Tuesday, June 25, 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
  • How to watch: FS1, Fubo
  • Favorite: Argentina (-208 via bet365)

Chile-Argentina predictions made Monday at 2:30 p.m. ET.

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