🏀 Rockets vs. Spurs Player Props Today: NBA Picks & Best Bets (March 8)

The San Antonio Spurs (46-17) have been one of the hottest teams in the league entering Sunday's home tilt with the Houston Rockets (39-13). The Spurs have won three in a row and nine of their last 10 games.

My Rockets vs. Spurs player props today count on San Antonio to maintain its recent form against Houston as part of Sunday's NBA picks and best bets. Get my favorite picks before tipoff at 8 p.m. ET in the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio on NBC/Peacock.

🏀 Best Rockets vs. Spurs player props today: NBA picks for March 8

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.83 units

💰 Best Rockets vs. Spurs prop bet

Keldon Johnson Under 15.5 points + rebounds (-112)

I've been beating the drum for Keldon Johnson's Sixth Man of the Year campaign, but I think that dream might officially be dead as of early March. His role has vastly decreased during San Antonio's recent run.

Over the last 12 games, Johnson is averaging 9.7 points and four rebounds in 20.3 minutes per game. All those numbers are down from his season-long metrics. He's only cleared this combo line five times over that span.

The Rockets are fifth in defensive rating and second in rebounds allowed.

I'd be surprised if Johnson finds much success in this matchup, which is why I'd play this Under at -125 or better.

🔥 More Rockets vs. Spurs prop picks

Kevin Durant Under 25.5 points (-110)

The Spurs have done an excellent job of limiting Kevin Durant's impact in this head-to-head series.

In three meetings, Durant has never scored more than 24 points. He's averaging 22 points per game against San Antonio, which is 4.1 points fewer than his season-long average. His usage (24.8%) and field goal attempts per game (15.7) are also down compared to his year-long numbers.

There is a chance that the Spurs' length bothers Durant, which feels impossible to believe until you look at Victor Wembanyama next to anyone. Durant's scoring line tonight (25.5) is one point higher than the closing total of his previous three matchups with the Spurs.

I like the Under at -115 or better.

Victor Wembanyama Over 1.5 3-pointers (-102)

Wembanyama's 3-point volume has gone down this year. He averaged 8.8 attempts from distance last season, but now is only firing up 5.1 per game. 

Honestly, it should have been expected that Wembanyama would take more efficient shots when the Spurs started winning more games. But make no mistake, he's still a weapon from long range. Wembanyama has knocked down four triples in back-to-back outings.

Wembanyama has yet to hit a 3-pointer in three head-to-head meetings with Houston this year, but he has launched 12 attempts. I'm willing to take the -102 price at Caesars to bet on positive variance, especially when BetMGM charges -160 for the same ticket.

Our Mike Spector offers more player props in his Knicks vs. Lakers player props today.

💡 How I'm betting Rockets vs. Spurs

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

I've found three different angles worth betting on for tonight's Rockets vs. Spurs matchup. My favorite look is the Under on Johnson's combo line, which is why half of my unit allocation is on that bet.

When handicapping a game like this one, I think it's best to spend the most on your biggest edges. In this case, the market hasn't adjusted enough to Johnson's recent form.

That said, I do like the value of those two props for Durant and Wembanyama as well. I have a slight preference toward Durant's prop, but both have similar edges based on projections.

🚀 Rockets vs. Spurs same-game parlay

I've opted to go with my top-two props along with San Antonio's moneyline value for Sunday's Rockets vs. Spurs parlay. All signs point toward the Spurs maintaining their recent momentum in this Western Conference clash.

🚑 Rockets vs. Spurs injuries

📺 How to watch Rockets vs. Spurs

• Date: Sunday, March 8
• Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio)
• TV: NBC