NBA Player Props Tonight: Expert Picks for Thursday

After a couple of nights off due to the NBA Cup, my NBA player props tonight are back to prepare you for a four-game slate.

Milwaukee Bucks center Myles Turner headlines my NBA best bets for Thursday, with my pick going against him in his matchup with the Boston Celtics.

🏀 NBA player prop bets for Dec. 11

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

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⬇️  Myles Turner player prop: Under 19.5 points + rebounds + assists (-122) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Bucks signed Myles Turner in a surprising move over the offseason, hoping it would keep Giannis Antetokounmpo in town. Fast forward a few months, and Turner hasn’t found his footing, while Antetokounmpo is back in trade rumors.

Turner is averaging 12.6 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 1.7 assists per game this year. He’s failed to clear this PRA line in five of his previous six contests, but the total continues to trade at 19.5 at our best sportsbooks.

I think that’s a mistake, especially in a matchup against Boston big man Neemias Queta. According to Cleaning the Glass, the Celtics are more than 20 points per 100 possessions better defensively with Queta on the floor.

Give me this Under, winning $8.20 on a $10 bet.

Our Liam Fox took the Over on a different Turner prop as part of his best Celtics vs. Bucks player props.

⬆️  Jordan Walsh player prop: Over 7.5 points (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jordan Walsh has been a pleasant surprise for the Celtics. He’s averaging 7.1 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.1 assists per game. Walsh, the second-round pick in 2023, is playing stellar defense, which is earning him more playing time for Boston.

Walsh has played at least 26 minutes in four of his previous five games. He scored eight or more points in all five outings, averaging 14 over that span. During that stretch, he’s attempted at least seven shots four times.

Walsh’s scoring prop is as high as 8.5 at FanDuel, so I like the bargain at BetMGM. This -115 value earns a profit of $8.70 on a $10 wager.

⬇️  Derik Queen player prop: Under 20.5 points + assists (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Rookie center Derik Queen has been playing so well of late that some are questioning whether the New Orleans Pelicans made the worst trade of the offseason. Spoiler alert: New Orleans did, especially since it could have just taken Queen at No. 7 overall instead.

I’m interested in fading Queen at his highest price point of the season. This combo line closed at 17.5 last time out before Queen finished with a 33-point triple-double against the San Antonio Spurs on Monday.

Queen has only cleared this combo line seven times all year, including twice in his past eight games. The Portland Trail Blazers have enough frontcourt defense to slow him down on Thursday.

⬇️  Keon Ellis player prop: Under 7.5 points (-128) ⭐⭐⭐

With Zach LaVine out for the Sacramento Kings tonight against the Denver Nuggets, Keon Ellis has a scoring prop. He scored 20 points the last time LaVine missed a game for the Kings.

However, Ellis hasn’t scored more than six points since Nov. 14. He hasn’t cleared this line in 10 straight contests. Ellis is averaging 5.2 points in 16.3 minutes per game. I’ll bet against his role on Thursday in what could be a lopsided loss against Denver.

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