🏀 Pistons vs. Timberwolves Player Props Today: NBA Picks & Best Bets (March 28)

I have two valuable plays on Detroit guard Daniss Jenkins in my Pistons vs. Timberwolves player props today.
Detroit Pistons guard Daniss Jenkins argues a foul call, and he's featured in our Piston's vs. Timberwolves player props.
Pictured: Detroit Pistons guard Daniss Jenkins argues a foul call, and he's featured in our Piston's vs. Timberwolves player props. Photo by Lon Horwedel / Imagn.
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The Detroit Pistons and Minnesota Timberwolves will face off at 5:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Target Center on ABC, with Cade Cunningham, Anthony Edwards, and Jaden McDaniels all out.

My Pistons vs. Timberwolves props today tackle a game with a lot of uncertainty, which is why I'm taking a couple of shots on former two-way guard Daniss Jenkins for today's NBA picks and best bets.


🏀 Best Pistons vs. Timberwolves player props today: NBA picks for March 28

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Player Prop bet Units Confidence
Daniss Jenkins, G, Pistons Over 15.5 points (-120 via BetMGM) 1u -> 0.83u ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Daniss Jenkins, G, Pistons Over 23.5 points + assists (-115 via bet365) 1u -> 0.87 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.7 units


💰 Best Pistons vs. Timberwolves prop bet

Daniss Jenkins Over 15.5 points (-120)

Daniss Jenkins has emerged as a key contributor to help the Pistons stay afloat without Cunningham. He's really picked up his production over the last four outings, too. Jenkins has scored at least 19 points in four straight contests, averaging 22.5 with a 21.3% usage rating.

The Timberwolves rank 30th in defending the pick-and-roll ball-handler this season, per Props Madness, which is how Jenkins earns 20% of his scoring production. This Over is listed at 16.5 at most of the best sports betting sites, so I'm jumping on the bargain at BetMGM.


🔥 More Pistons vs. Timberwolves prop picks

Daniss Jenkins Over 23.5 points + assists (-115)

Feel free to choose your favorite Jenkins prop, but I like his chances of clearing both markets in this matchup. Over the last four games, Jenkins has averaged 8.8 assists on 14.5 potential dimes and 38.8 minutes per contest. He's recorded at least 28 points + assists in every contest over that span.

While Jenkins has upped his production in recent outings, he's thrived all year in the non-Cunningham minutes. According to Databallr, Jenkins' usage has increased by 6.2% in 663 minutes without Cunningham this year. His scoring has jumped by 1.7 points, and his assists have climbed by 2.8 per 75 possessions.

Basically, we should have seen this run coming. This combo line has closed at 24.5 in back-to-back matchups at the best sports betting apps, so I'll take the discount bet365 is providing.


🚀 Pistons vs. Timberwolves same-game parlay

I've already bet on Jenkins in multiple different ways, so I don't feel the need to go too crazy with this Pistons vs. Timberwolves parlay. He's unlikely to clear the combo line without scoring more than 15.5 points, so all three tickets are completely correlated. Therefore, it's not a smart idea to risk too much if something beyond our control happens today.

💵 Pistons vs. Timberwolves SGP picks

  • Daniss Jenkins Over 15.5 points (-120)
  • Daniss Jenkins Over 23.5 points + assists (-135)

Best odds: +110 via BetMGM (0.1u -> 0.11u)


💡 How I'm betting Pistons vs. Timberwolves

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

For all my complaining about betting on the NBA regular season in March, this is the reason why I stay locked in on the sport throughout the year. I'm looking to bet on players who are motivated to perform in games that don't matter as much because so many teams are actively tanking or stars are hurt.

It's important to pick your spots during the home stretch of the regular season. But in this case, Jenkins is worth backing. The former two-way guard has a chance to have his moment on the national stage, and I don't want to miss it.


🚑 Pistons vs. Timberwolves injuries


📺 How to watch Pistons vs. Timberwolves

  • Date: Saturday, March 28
  • Tipoff: 5:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Target Center (Minneapolis)
  • TV: ABC

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