NBA Picks Tonight: Monday’s Best Player Picks & Underdog Pick ‘Em Predictions for March 24
Last Updated: March 24, 2025 7:04 PM EDT • 5 minute read X Social Google News Link
The men's March Madness tournament takes a break after an exciting weekend, but thankfully, there's plenty of NBA action on tap tonight.
We have an eight-game slate this evening, and we're offering our Underdog NBA picks today for the action, including a five-star play for Domantas Sabonis.
💰 Best NBA picks & Underdog Pick ‘Em predictions
🎯 Domantas Sabonis lower than 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Franz Wagner lower than 23.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Quentin Grimes lower than 26.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Jordan Poole higher than 16.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Tyrese Haliburton higher than 27.5 points & assists ⭐⭐⭐
🏆 Today’s best NBA player picks
🎯 Domantas Sabonis ⬇️14.5 points
The Sacramento Kings are on the front end of a home-and-home, with the Boston Celtics today and the Oklahoma City Thunder tomorrow. The Kings are just 1.5 games above the playoff-tournament cut line, so escaping the series with a win is pivotal. Unfortunately, the Celtics are a brutal matchup for Sabonis.
Over the last 15 games, Boston leads the NBA in points allowed to centers at only 16.5. Further, since the All-Star break, Boston ranks second in points allowed in the paint per contest at 44.8. Sabonis has struggled since the break, failing to clear the 14.5-point threshold in all six of his appearances.
If this game gets out of hand early, expect the Kings to cut their losses to keep Sabonis fresher for tomorrow.
🎯 Franz Wagner ⬇️ 23.5 points
Let’s play a lower for Wagner in the first of the Orlando Magic’s two-game back-to-back set. He’ll host the Los Angeles Lakers tonight before visiting the Charlotte Hornets tomorrow. Tonight’s matchup should be lower-scoring than some expect - the Lakers are 23rd in pace since the All-Star break while the Magic are 25th.
I’m targeting Wagner specifically because he relies on interior scoring. Since the pause, Wagner is averaging only 21.9 points per game, 13.9 of which (63.4%!) came in the paint. Los Angeles is eighth-best by points allowed in the paint since the All-Star break, and when combined with both teams’ slow pace of play, we’ve got a good recipe for a below-average scoring game from Wagner.
🎯 Quentin Grimes ⬇️ 26.5 points
Both sides of Monday’s matchup between the New Orleans Pelicans and Philadelphia 76ers were in action last night. Grimes scored 26 points in a whopping 35 minutes vs. the Atlanta Hawks, and he now has to get ready to play again tonight. Grimes has delivered by putting together massive scoring performances without rest so far, but I don’t think he can keep it up.
New Orleans’ defensive struggles have largely come against wings, specifically small forwards and power forwards, against whom it ranks fourth- and second-worst, respectively, over the last 15. It ranks as an average defense vs. opposing point guards in the scoring department but is dead last in assists. Look for Grimes to pass more than usual while shooting less often.
🎯 Jordan Poole ⬆️ 16.5 points
On a day I think is good to go lower, we’re going higher for this Poole player projection. Poole’s fast-paced Washington Wizards will take on the similarly quick Toronto Raptors this evening. Poole bounces between shooting guard and point guard, and the Raptors have allowed the fourth-most points per game to the former position over the last 15 games.
Poole is a high-variance player, but he has been better than his projection suggests lately. Since the All-Star break, Poole is averaging 17.8 points per contest, going higher in seven of 13 appearances and landing on exactly 16 twice. That sample includes two games vs. Toronto in which he averaged 25 with a low of 16.
🎯 Tyrese Haliburton ⬆️ 27.5 points & assists
Although Tyrese Haliburton hasn’t been as good this year as many expected, he has bounced back since the All-Star break. He is averaging 21.4 points and 11.9 assists per game since then, good for 33.3 - well above today’s player projection at Underdog.
Today’s matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tricky one, but they’re playing at an above-average pace since the All-Star break, and they just coughed up 11 points and 13 assists to Indiana’s T.J. McConnell in a game that Haliburton missed.
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