🏀 Nuggets vs. Warriors Player Props Today: NBA Picks & Best Bets (Feb. 22)
The best basketball player in the world will be in action during the NBA’s first Sunday slate after the All-Star break, as people turn their attention from football to basketball. Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic must deliver for the NBA, especially since Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler are sidelined for the Golden State Warriors.
My Nuggets vs. Warriors player props today break down Jokic’s prop markets before tipoff at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC) from Chase Center in San Francisco.
🏀 Best Nuggets vs. Warriors player props today: NBA picks for Feb. 22
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic, C, Nuggets | Under 29.5 points (-118) | 1u -> 0.85u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Gui Santos, F, Warriors | Over 11.5 points (-122) | 1u -> 0.82u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.67 units
💰 Best Nuggets vs. Warriors prop bet
Nikola Jokic Under 29.5 points (-118)
Denver is playing its third game in four days, and I’m expecting some tired legs on the Denver side, especially with the early tip (12:30 local time). Jokic has only scored more than 26 points once in his past five games. He’s failed to score more than 26 points in either head-to-head meeting with the Warriors.
I love this Under. Give me the -118 value at DraftKings, but I’d play it at -130 or better.
🔥 More Nuggets vs. Warriors prop picks
Gui Santos Over 11.5 points (-122)
I’ve become obsessed with betting on Gui Santos player props. He’s carved out a solid role for the Warriors over the last month, thanks to a combination of injuries and trades.
Since Jan. 28, Santos has averaged 15 points per contest and cleared this scoring line in seven of his eight matchups. He’s averaging 28.4 minutes over that span, in which his scoring total has climbed from 5.5 to 11.5.
One might argue I’m buying high, but this obsession can’t stop. At least not until it doesn’t work. FanDuel offers the best price tag at -122, though I’d play it to -130.
💡 How I'm betting Nuggets vs. Warriors
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Between two picks, I have a couple of units in play for today’s Nuggets vs. Warriors matchup. That’s typically on the lower end for one of these previews.
I have multiple reasons for the smaller bankroll, though the most important is that earlier games tend to yield more efficient lines. I also don’t feel confident about what to expect from Denver given its schedule heading into this matchup.
As a result, I’ve found a couple of angles that I feel best about.
🚀 Nuggets vs. Warriors same-game parlay
My theory for this matchup is that the Nuggets will get off to a slower start due to the early start time and their recent stretch. The Warriors, who have only played once since returning from the break, are more rested.
As such, I’d back Golden State in the first half to go along with my favorite player props as part of Sunday’s Nuggets vs. Thunder parlay.
💵 Nuggets vs. Warriors SGP picks
- Warriors first-half spread +3.5 (-114)
- Nikola Jokic Under 29.5 points (-130)
- Gui Santos Over 11.5 points (-125)
Best odds: +XXX via Sportsbook X (Xu -> Xu)
🚑 Nuggets vs. Warriors injuries
📺 How to watch Nuggets vs Thunder
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 22
- Tipoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
- TV: ABC
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