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Nuggets vs. Warriors Predictions Tonight: Best NBA Odds & Player Props for April 4

Gabe Henderson

Last Updated: April 4, 2025 5:55 PM EDT â€ĸ 5 min 49 sec read.

Nuggets vs. Warriors Predictions Tonight: Best NBA Odds, Picks & Player Props for April 4
Pictured: Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) drives in against Denver Nuggets forward Hunter Tyson (5). Photo by Kelley L Cox via Imagn Images.

The Denver Nuggets (47-30) will try to get back into the win column tonight against the surging Golden State Warriors (45-31) in a pivotal Western Conference showdown. Our Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions and player props focus on key individuals who could impact the outcome, including Stephen Curry and Nikola Jokic.

Denver is a 1.5-point betting favorite on the road over Golden State at our best sports betting sites. Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV) tonight from Chase Center in San Francisco.

Just 1.5 games separate the Nuggets and Warriors in the NBA standings. Which team gets the upper hand heading into the regular season's penultimate weekend?

💰 Best Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions & NBA player props tonight: April 4

Here are my best Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions and player props for tonight's NBA matchup, with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NBA picks, along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.

✅ Game pick: Warriors to cover +1.5 (-120 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Nikola Jokic player prop pick: To record a triple-double (+150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Stephen Curry player prop pick: Under 4.5 made 3-pointers (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐  
✅ Jamal Murray player prop pick: Over 5.5 assists (+110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

⛹ī¸ Nuggets vs. Warriors player prop picks

Here are my best Nuggets vs. Warriors player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NBA matchup. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

🏀 Nikola Jokic to record a triple-double (+150)⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +150 via DraftKings ($10 to win $15)

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Jokic is on pace to join an elite group. He's set to finish the season averaging a triple-double, and the superstar would become just the third player to achieve that feat, joining Oscar Robertson and Russell Westbrook (who's done it four times).

The Denver big man leads the NBA in triple-doubles (31) with more than three times the closest competitor, LeBron James (10). That incredible stretch includes two in his past three outings, and notably a 61-10-10 game against the Minnesota Timberwolves last time out.

Taking all of that into consideration, it's puzzling that Jokic is still listed at plus money to pad the stat sheet. It's not easy to tally a triple-double, despite how breezy "The Joker" makes it look. Thus, we're recommending this prop with three stars of confidence. A $10 winning wager returns $15 in profit if Jokic stays hot.

📊 Best Nikola Jokic prop bet odds

🏀 Stephen Curry Under 4.5 made 3-pointers (-115)⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via DraftKings ($10 to win $8.70)

Do you remember how you felt the first time you defied your parents, whether it was staying out past curfew or refusing to eat your vegetables? Doing something you know is wrong gets those rebellious juices flowing, and that's how we feel picking against Curry in this spot.

Golden State's sharpshooter and the NBA's all-time leader in 3-pointers has been lethal lately. He shot 12-for-20 from beyond the arc against Memphis during a 52-point outing, only to follow it up with 37 points against the Los Angeles Lakers last night.

Despite those video game numbers, Curry has made fewer than five 3-point shots in five of his last seven outings. We're recommending this play at three stars of confidence because fading "Chef Curry" feels icky. Nevertheless, we'll take full advantage of the -115 odds our best sports betting apps are offering.

📊 Best Stephen Curry prop bet odds

🏀 Jamal Murray Over 5.5 assists (+110)⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $11)

Murray is officially listed as questionable for tonight's tilt. He's missed the last three games due to a nagging hamstring injury, but oddsmakers expect him to suit up for this hugely important showdown against Golden State.

If Murray does play, he'll reprise the role of Denver's backcourt distributor, as he has in recent weeks. The 28-year-old has dished out six-plus helpers at an 80% clip over his last five appearances. He only failed to reach six assists during a blowout loss to the Portland Trail Blazers.

While the Warriors allow the 11th-fewest assists per game in the Association (25.9), Murray went Over this total during his lone matchup with Golden State this season. He's averaging six assists per game on the year, so an average performance will tip this plus-money play in our favor.

📊 Best Jamal Murray prop bet odds

đŸŽ¯ Expert Nuggets vs. Warriors score prediction & AI projections

🔮 Expert score prediction: Warriors 111, Nuggets 109
🤖 AI score prediction: Warriors 117, Nuggets 114

🔮 Expert score prediction: Warriors 111, Nuggets 109

When asked whether Golden State will play its starters tonight, Steve Kerr provided a definitive two-word answer: "Oh yeah." The Warriors are as dangerous as any team in the league while in attack mode. The experience and talent alone are enough to carry Curry, Jimmy Butler and Co. to wins. Meanwhile, Denver needs to hope for a miracle from Jokic.

The Nuggets are down on their luck right now, whereas the Warriors are red-hot. We're ignoring the previous meetings this season - both of which Denver won - and siding with the hosts to continue their winning streak.

📊 Best odds: +18000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1,800)

🤖 AI score prediction: Warriors 117, Nuggets 114

Score prediction and analysis via ChatGPT - a large language model from OpenAI. While ChatGPT is not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that bettors might overlook.

đŸ–Ĩī¸ AI predictions for Nuggets vs. Warriors

ChatGPT is a fan of Golden State's recent form and expects the hosts to win with the projected final score of Warriors 117, Nuggets 114.

  • Win probability: Nuggets 48% | Warriors 52%
  • Projected total points: 231
  • Key takeaways:
    • Home-court advantage: The Warriors are playing at Chase Center, which is known for providing a strong boost to their performance. Their fan support can create a difficult atmosphere for visiting teams.
    • Steph Curry: Curry has been playing at an MVP level recently, and his scoring ability and leadership make the Warriors a dangerous team, especially in high-pressure situations.
    • Defense: The Warriors' defense, with Draymond Green leading the way, is effective at disrupting opposing offenses. They excel in transition play, and if they can force the Nuggets into turnovers or missed shots, it will give them more opportunities for fast breaks.

🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI score prediction leans toward Golden State covering the spread (+1.5) and a total of Under 235.5 points.

📊 Live Nuggets vs. Warriors odds & NBA betting splits tonight

Here are the latest Nuggets vs. Warriors odds and betting splits from our best live betting sites.

đŸ”ĸ Nuggets vs. Warriors latest odds & betting lines

📈 Nuggets vs. Warriors odds movement

This line has gone back and forth all day, alternating favorites in tonight's clash. However, the market seems to have settled on Denver as a 1.5-point betting favorite in the hours leading up to tipoff from the Bay Area.

🏆 Who will win Nuggets vs. Warriors?

As of 6 p.m. ET, Denver is the 1.5-point favorite to beat Golden State with moneyline odds of -118 at BetMGM, which suggests a 54.13% win probability for the Nuggets. We're predicting a 111-109 victory for the Warriors as our final score projection.

So far, 52% of bettors have wagered against the spread on the Nuggets at -1.5, while 69% of bettors expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 236.5 points.

🚑 Nuggets vs. Warriors injuries

Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Nuggets vs. Warriors matchup, which will update in real time.

đŸ“ē How to watch Nuggets vs. Warriors tonight

📅 Date: Friday, April 4
🕗 Time: 10 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
đŸ“ē TV: NBA TV
đŸ’ģ Streaming: NBA League Pass

❓ Nuggets vs. Warriors FAQs

Who is favored to win Nuggets vs. Warriors?

The Nuggets are -118 favorites to beat the Warriors, which carries an implied probability of 54.13%. 

What are the odds for Nuggets vs. Warriors?

The Nuggets are 1.5-point betting favorites on the road over the Warriors, with a total of 236.5.

What time is Nuggets vs. Warriors tonight?

The Nuggets and Warriors tip off at 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV) from Chase Center in San Francisco.

How to watch Nuggets vs. Warriors

You can watch tonight's Nuggets vs. Warriors game on NBA TV or stream it on NBA League Pass.

🏀 Best NBA betting sites

Looking to bet on the NBA tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.

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Written By:
Gabe Henderson
Gabe Henderson is a sports betting writer from Houston, Texas. He graduated from Louisiana State University in 2022 with a bachelor's degree in Mass Communication. Gabe developed an interest in sports betting while in college due to its legalization in Louisiana. He turned his passion into a career shortly after, joining The Advocate/NOLA.com as a Sports Betting Content Coordinator, where he spent two years. Gabe wore many hats before graduating as he led FanSided's coverage of Chelsea FC as a Site Expert with "The Pride of London." He was also the Editor-in-Chief of the LSU Gumbo Yearbook for two years. Gabe became a part of the SportsbookReview.com team in late 2024. He brings with him an extensive knowledge of many sports, including — but not limited to — NFL, NCAA, MLB, NBA, soccer, and UFC.