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Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets reacts after scoring, and we offer our top NBA player props and expert picks for Saturday based on the best NBA odds.
Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets reacts after scoring. Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images via AFP.

The Denver Nuggets emerged victorious on the front end of a back-to-back against the Sacramento Kings. Find out which team we prefer in our Nuggets-Kings pick based on the top odds.

The Nuggets looked down and out in Sacramento on Tuesday before a furious comeback lifted them to a win over their Western Conference foes. They’ve now won five in a row.

Sacramento will look to avoid a third straight loss as it once again plays host to arguably the hottest team in basketball.

Here is our best Nuggets vs. Kings NBA pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Nuggets vs. Kings Game Info

Date: Wednesday, Dec. 28, 10 p.m. ET
TV: NBA TV
Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA

Nuggets vs. Kings Odds

Nuggets vs. Kings Odds Analysis

We haven’t seen much movement with the spread. The number is 2.5 points, and that’s the only number we’ve seen since betting on this one opened. Shockingly, though, 81% of all spread tickets and 82% of the handle at DraftKings is on Denver.

The total has been far more evenly split, with 52% of bettors flocking to the Under but 60% of the money coming in on the Over. That would explain the marginal move on the total from 235 at the open to 236.

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Nuggets vs. Kings Pick

Nuggets -2.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Nuggets, simply put, are a wagon. Jamal Murray is now fully operational and making a serious impact for the team. He buried a step-back three as the shot clock expired on Tuesday night and followed that up with a steal and a bucket to put the game away.

Denver is set to welcome back Aaron Gordon and get more out of Bruce Brown, with the latter playing just nine minutes on Tuesday. If both of them are able to play even remotely extended minutes, Sacramento will be in trouble.

The Nuggets out-rebounded the Kings on Tuesday and won the turnover battle by three. Though they fell two points short of the Kings in terms of scoring in the paint, Gordon’s return should further tip the scales and hinder a Kings team that has few options in the front court when it comes to offense.

Though you can argue the Kings will shoot better than 28.6% from three, Denver managed to knock down just 35.1% of looks from deep and owns one of the best 3-point offenses in basketball. Take the better team here.

Nuggets vs. Kings Best Odds

DraftKings (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5
-110-110-110-110-110

I wish there was more to break down here. Every single book is offering the exact same number and the exact same price. BetRivers is at -115, but that’s about the only variance I can find. With that, I suppose I’ll grade this one as a C line, just doing the very least.

If it helps your shopping, the best book for the Over is BetMGM, where you can pay -115 for 235.5 points. PointsBet will offer you -110 odds on the Under 236.

Nuggets-Kings picks made 12/28/2022 at 10:59 a.m. ET

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