🏀 Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Player Props Tonight: NBA Picks & Best Bets (Feb. 20)
Anthony Edwards returns to action after winning All-Star Game MVP over the weekend as the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Dallas Mavericks tonight. While there's a solid chance the Timberwolves blow out the Mavericks, I bet Edwards will play more minutes and put up more points than the market expects.
My Mavericks vs. Timberwolves player props tonight also feature Naji Marshall as part of our NBA picks and best bets for Friday. The Timberwolves are listed as a 14.5-point betting favorite over the Mavericks, with tipoff from Target Center in Minneapolis slated for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN).
🏀 Best Mavericks vs. Timberwolves player props: NBA picks for Feb. 20
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards, G, Timberwolves | Over 28.5 points (-115) | 1.15u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Naji Marshall, F, Mavericks | Under 3.5 assists (+108) | .93u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2.08 units | Max profit: 2 units
💰 Best Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Anthony Edwards Over 28.5 points (-115)
Edwards' line is set a little low tonight, as the Timberwolves are a 14.5-point favorite. In theory, if Minnesota routs Dallas, Edwards would play fewer minutes and score fewer points. However, Edwards has scored 33 or more points in each of the Timberwolves' last three games as a double-digit favorite.
He’s played over 38 minutes in back-to-back games when the Timberwolves were favored by double digits, and he’ll likely stay on the court longer than the market expects again tonight. BetMGM lists this prop at -115, but I would play it up to -145.
🐺 Don't like Anthony Edwards' Over?
Our Dustin Saracini breaks down why he bet Edwards Under 28.5 points (-102) with his NBA player props tonight.
📊 Anthony Edwards prop trends
Anthony Edwards is the betting favorite in our NBA Clutch Player of the Year odds.
| Bet | Best odds | Last 10 games | Last 10 vs. Mavericks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 28.5 points | -115 via BetMGM | 6-4 ✅ | 2-8 ❌ |
| Over 5.5 rebounds | +112 via FanDuel | 5-5 ➖ | 7-3 ✅ |
| Over 3.5 assists | -128 via DraftKings | 5-5 ➖ | 8-2 ✅ |
| Over 3.5 three-pointers made | +128 via FanDuel | 5-5 ➖ | 4-6 ❌ |
🔥 More Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prop picks
Our Matt Burke breaks down Cooper Flagg’s injury and analyzes when the Mavericks’ star rookie will return.
Naji Marshall Under 3.5 assists (+108)
I project Marshall to be aggressive on offense tonight and to shy away from distributing the ball. He scored 18 points on 14 shots and recorded just one assist the last time he faced Minnesota without Flagg on Jan. 28.
The threat of this game turning into a blowout is also favorable for this bet, as Mavericks coach Jason Kidd will likely empty the bench if the game gets out of hand after three quarters. The best odds are +108 at FanDuel, but this bet is playable up to -115.
💡 How I'm betting Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
My bankroll strategy is to treat one unit as 1 percent of the money I’ve set aside solely for sports betting.
I’m betting each of these plays to win 1 unit, as I am confident in these bets directionally, but the lines aren't far from where I would set them. If bigger edges were available, I would consider risking up to 2.5 units per bet. I allotted 2.08 units for this game because I want to minimize risk while managing variance throughout the long NBA season.
📈 Sports betting how-to: Bankroll management
Our LJ Blut breaks down the dos and don’ts of bankroll management.
🚀 Mavericks vs. Timberwolves same-game parlay
This parlay offers solid value because if Marshall scores 20 or more points, there's a strong chance that he records three or fewer assists. The last three times Marshall has put up 20 or more points, he has dished out fewer than four assists.
💵 Mavericks vs. Timberwolves SGP picks
- Naji Marshall Under 3.5 assists (+108)
- Naji Marshall 20+ points (+114)
Best odds: +339 via FanDuel (.29u -> 1u)
🚑 Mavericks vs. Timberwolves injuries
📺 How to watch Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, Feb. 20
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Center (Minneapolis)
- TV: ESPN
🔮 NBA futures odds after All-Star break
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