🏀 Clippers vs. Warriors Player Props Tonight: De’Anthony Melton & Moses Moody Picks
The LA Clippers visit the Golden State Warriors tonight as both teams battle for positioning in the Western Conference. With several injuries impacting this matchup, the on-court product may suffer slightly, but change often creates betting value. I’ve pinpointed three lines that appear too low - two on Warriors players and one on a Clipper.
My Clippers vs. Warriors player props tonight target De'Anthony Melton, Bennedict Mathurin, and Moses Moody as part of our NBA picks and best bets for Monday. The Clippers are a 1.5-point betting favorite, with tipoff from Chase Center in San Francisco scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (Peacock/NBC Sports Network).
🏀 Best Clippers vs. Warriors player props tonight: NBA picks for March 2
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| De'Anthony Melton, G, Warriors | Over 15.5 points (-115) | 1.15u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bennedict Mathurin, G, Clippers | Over 5.5 rebounds (+116) | 0.86u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Moses Moody, G, Warriors | Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-143) | 0.72u -> 0.5u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2.73 units | Max profit: 2.5 units
💰 Best Clippers vs. Warriors prop bet
My NBA player props tonight also feature De'Anthony Melton Over 15.5 points (-115).
De'Anthony Melton Over 15.5 points (-115)
Melton has taken on a larger role in the offense with Stephen Curry (knee) sidelined. His median points total is 17 through nine games since Curry was injured on Jan. 30.
Melton has gone over this total in four of his last five games and has attempted 12 or more shots in four straight contests. DraftKings has Melton Over 15.5 points at -115, but I would still play it at any of the best sports betting sites up to -125.
🔥 More Clippers vs. Warriors prop picks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Bennedict Mathurin Over 5.5 rebounds (+116)
Mathurin mainly competes for rebounds with Kawhi Leonard and Kris Dunn, but there is no guarantee that either will be fully aggressive on the boards tonight, as both have recently dealt with injuries and are playing on the second night of a back-to-back.
While Mathurin grabbed just five rebounds against the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday, he played only 15 minutes, as the Clippers won by 20 points. He had recorded six or more rebounds in three straight games entering Sunday’s contest. FanDuel lists Mathurin at Over 5.5 rebounds (+116), but this bet is good up to +105.
Moses Moody Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-143)
Moody shot 48.6% from beyond the arc in ten February games and has cashed this prop in six straight.
He made four 3-pointers against the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday, but what is even more important for this bet is that he attempted 10 three-pointers for the second time in three games. Expect him to stay aggressive from beyond the arc again tonight. Moody Over 2.5 three-pointers made is -143 at DraftKings, but I would still play it up to -150 at any of the best NBA betting sites.
🇬🇷 Giannis Antetokounmpo returns tonight!
My Celtics vs. Bucks player props feature a five-star play on Giannis Antetokounmpo in his return from a calf injury tonight.
💡 How I'm betting Clippers vs. Warriors
My bankroll strategy is to treat 1 unit as 1% of the money I have set aside solely for sports betting. I’ve allocated 2.73 units for this game, which is slightly less than I would usually bet on three player props.
The reason for the lower risk is that Moody’s 3-pointers line isn’t far from where I would price it, though I still like the bet directionally. I expect this to be a high-scoring game tonight, with several Warriors players looking to step up as Golden State deals with multiple key injuries.
🚑 Clippers vs. Warriors injuries
📺 How to watch Clippers vs. Warriors
- Date: Monday, March 2
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
- TV: Peacock/NBC Sports Network
📈 My win/loss record: Updated March 2
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parlays | 1-8 | -1.34 units ❌ | -49.68% ❌ |
| Player props | 27-21-3 | +3.91 units ✅ | 6.3% ✅ |
| Overall | 28-29-3 | +2.56 units ✅ | 4% ✅ |
🎟️ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White | Celtics | Over 6.5 assists | -150 |
| Bobby Portis | Bucks | Under 4.5 rebounds | +100 |
| Kawhi Leonard | Clippers | Under 10.5 rebounds + assists | -105 |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | Bucks | Under 4.5 rebounds | +105 |
| Julian Strawther | Nuggets | Over 10.5 points | -125 |
It’s no surprise that Derrick White Over 6.5 assists (-150) is the most popular player prop tonight at BetMGM, given that he’ll handle more of the offense with Jaylen Brown ruled out.
Targeting props after injury news breaks is a classic handicapping approach, but timing is critical. Those lines are often pulled and adjusted quickly - or the market moves before you can lock in the number.
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