🏀 Cavaliers vs. Hawks Player Props Tonight: NBA Picks & Best Bets (April 10)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker has a chance to bolster his Most Improved Player case and push Atlanta higher in the Eastern Conference standings when the Hawks welcome Cleveland to State Farm Arena on Friday at 7 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video).
Alexander-Walker, who is a solid MIP favorite, is the only player worth backing in my Cavaliers vs. Hawks player props today. Atlanta is a 7.5-point favorite against a depleted Cleveland team, setting the stage for Alexander-Walker in a primetime matchup as part of our NBA picks and best bets.
🏀 Best Cavaliers vs. Hawks player props today: NBA picks for April 10
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker, G, Hawks | Over 21.5 points (-105 via BetMGM) | 1.05u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker, G, Hawks | 25-plus points (+182 via FanDuel) | 0.45u -> 0.82u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: 1.82 units
💰 Best Cavaliers vs. Hawks prop bet
Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 21.5 points (-105)
If you only bet one player prop for tonight's Cavaliers vs. Hawks matchup, let it be the Over on Alexander-Walker's scoring line. He poured in 25 points on a team-high 19 shots against the Cavaliers on Wednesday.
That was no accident, either. According to Props Madness, Cleveland ranks 25th at defending spot-ups this year. Alexander-Walker earns 22% of his scoring production via spot-ups.
With Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen, and Sam Merrill all out for the Cavs, James Harden will have to shoulder a lot of offensive burden. Even if he rises to the occasion on the offensive end, it will have a negative impact on his defense in this matchup against Alexander-Walker.
🔥 More Cavaliers vs. Hawks prop picks
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 25-plus points (+182)
Because I like the Over on Alexander-Walker's scoring line, I thought it would be fun to explore his value in the alternate market. FanDuel's +182 price tag on 25-plus points is appealing, considering Alexander-Walker's recent form.
Alexander-Walker is averaging 28.5 points in four games since April 1, dropping as many as 36 against the New York Knicks on Monday. He's averaged 24.6 points per contest over the past month, reaching 25-plus points in seven of his 16 games (43.8%).
With the implied probability of FanDuel's value being 35.46%, I like the odds of betting on a big night for Alexander-Walker. Let him leave a lasting impression on voters tonight.
🤑 More NBA player props
Looking for more plays for today? Dive into my Timberwolves vs. Rockets player props.
🚀 Cavaliers vs. Hawks same-game parlay
I see no reason to get too creative with tonight's Cavaliers vs. Hawks parlay. I've opted to back Alexander-Walker's scoring line and Atlanta's moneyline, creating a payout of +140 for this SGP at BetMGM. Both Alexander-Walker and the Hawks are motivated to take care of business against a shorthanded Cavs team.
💵 Cavaliers vs. Hawks SGP picks
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 21.5 points (-105)
- Hawks ML (-325)
Best odds: +140 via BetMGM (0.25u -> 0.35u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 30.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-8 | -0.22 units ❌ | -2.3% ❌ |
| Player props | 4-5 | -0.15 units ❌ | -1.6% ❌ |
| Parlays | 1-3 | -0.07 units ❌ | -18% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Cavaliers vs. Hawks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
It's important to pick your spots during the final weekend of the NBA regular season. There have never been more teams not trying to win at any point this year.
The Hawks are motivated to win, as they could climb up to fifth in the East to set up a Round 1 matchup with the Cavaliers. Cleveland could climb up, but its injury report on Friday suggests that could be more difficult.
Alexander-Walker is perhaps more motivated than any other player in this game, as he's the only one in a position to win an award. I'm expecting a big night from him in an Atlanta victory.
🚑 Cavaliers vs. Hawks injuries
📺 How to watch Cavaliers vs. Hawks
- Date: Friday, April 10
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: State Farm Arena (Atlanta)
- TV: Amazon Prime Video
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